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The long journey from denier to delayer

Bush hits the climate alarm snooze button at G8

Posted by Joseph Romm (Guest Contributor) at 10:26 PM on 09 Jul 2008

snooze.jpg

The NYT's Andy Revkin dissed the G8 climate statement with the blog headline, "Rich and Emerging Greenhouse-Gas Emitters Fail to Set Common Long-Term Goal for Cuts." The headline of the NYT's article on the subject, however, is "Richest Nations Pledge to Halve Greenhouse Gas." The Grist story begins, "world leaders reached a landmark deal: agreeing to cut emissions in half by 2050," calling it a "significant step" for the Bush Administration, whereas NRDC's international climate policy director, Jake Schmidt, blogs, "Yup, Just as I Predicted ... No G8 Leadership!"

What is going on? You can read the "G8 statement on climate change and environment" and decide for yourself.

I think your reaction depends on whether you are a "glass is 90 percent empty" or "glass is 10 percent full" type of person and whether you judge the president on the relative basis of his dismal, pathetic, unconscionable climate record (in which case what he agreed to at the G8 was a big deal) or on an absolute basis of what needs to be done to avoid catastrophic climate impacts for the next 10 billion people to walk the earth (in which case what the G8 did was give a placebo to a diabetic -- a sugar-coated placebo, that is).

The Guardian online asked for my commentary, "Ignoring the climate change alarm." Here are some excerpts:

In November, [IPCC head] Rajendra Pachauri, said: "If there's no action before 2012, that's too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment." And remember that Pachauri was handpicked by the Bush administration to replace the "alarmist" Bob Watson.

Now compare his alarm call to the nonchalant language of the Declaration on Environment and Climate Change from the G8: "We recognise the importance of setting mid-term, aspirational goals for energy efficiency." Translation: hit the snooze button.

Some people seem excited by the fact that Bush signed a G8 deal to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. But here are three reasons this won't keep any insomniacs awake.

First, the G8's statement on the matter was:

We seek to share with all Parties to the UNFCCC the vision of, and together with them to consider and adopt in the UNFCCC negotiations, the goal of achieving at least 50% reduction of global emissions by 2050, recognising that this global challenge can only be met by a global response, in particular, by the contributions from all major economies, consistent with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities."

The language couldn't be any more watered down than if it had been in New Orleans during Hurricane Katrina.

Second, what is the baseline for this 50 percent reduction? Today's level of emissions? The text doesn't say. In fact, we probably need a 50 percent cut from 1990 levels.

Third, who really cares if the G8 pledges to share their vision and to consider and adopt a global "goal" of a 50 percent cut in emissions by 2050? What we need to know is not what the G8 thinks the world must do but rather what the G8 itself is prepared to do by 2050 -- and by 2020. At a minimum, the G8 needs to establish firm targets and timetables that return to 1990 levels by 2020 and 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. If the state of California can make such commitments, the G8 can ...

Bush will have one of two historical legacies. First, the next president of the United States, together with Congress and the American people and the rest of the world, could sharply reject and reverse Bush's energy and climate policies. That might save the climate and leave Bush's administration as a small historical footnote -- an utterly irrelevant anti-science president.

Alternately, the U.S. and the world might fail to overcome Bush's lost decade. Then future generations will view him bitterly as the man who, more than anyone else on the planet, ruined their health and well-being. Let's all hope and pray we end up with the irrelevant Bush.

This post was created for ClimateProgress.org, a project of the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

Anyone know...

Who does Obama get his science advice from? Or his economic advice? I think we can surmise his trajectory if we knew the people who are advising him now. The official web site is lacking the kind of depth that would help answer those questions.

George


George Mobus, Associate Professor, Institute of Technology, University of Washington Tacoma, and Professional Student for Life

Look to Parking Meters

Waitin on the G8 (or 10 or so) ...
Your wait is over!

Forget about your diplomatic and political leaders
You already know where to look

And since when did leaders ever care about people

A long day's journey into the darkness....

...wrought by deniers and delayers.

Perhaps we not discussing real issues, but rather tip-toeing around them.

From a historical perspective, it appears that humankind is the only organism on Earth that produces food, amasses more food than is needed for survival and made food into a commodity. Farmers have not been primarily motivate by an altruistic desire to grow food because they have wanted to feed a growing population, nor have they been selling food to increase human population numbers. The more food farmers grew, the more wealth they accumulated. Our (agri-)culture has evidently devised a spectacularly successful economic system that continuously expands the food supply for human human beings worldwide. What I am trying to suggest is simply this: An economic system that requires ever increasing food production, supposedly to feed a rapidly growing human population, appears to be inadvertently and unexpectedly enlarging the size of the human population on Earth.

That is to say, the predominant culture and its global economy appears to produce many wonders as well as potentially deleterious impacts. Would you agree that if our culture chooses to keep growing the global economy as we are doing now, then we will likely keep getting what we are getting now... for better and worse?

For a long time, the leaders of the predominant culture have chosen to continuously expand production capabilities, ones that give rise to the rampant economic globalization we see today. Unfortunately, an ever expanding, leviathan-like global economy appears to give rise to something recognizably unsatisfactory because it could become unsustainable.

If you will, please consider how the relentless hoarding of wealth and the conspicuous  over-consumption of resources by millions of people leave billions of people in the family of humanity hungry.

For fortunate millions of people with riches to recklessly consume limited resources, while billions of less forunate people go without adequate food to eat, seems somehow not quite right.

Inequity is sad enough; grotesque inequity will one day be considered intolerable, I suppose.

If leaders of our predominant culture choose to modify the way the unbridled global economy continuously grows and the way it inequitably distributes resources, then perhaps they and we will find more reasonable, sensible, fair and, equally important, sustainable ways of performing these practices better.

Perhaps it is a mistake for me to do so; but, nevertheless, I am assuming most members of the Grist Mill community can agree that the unbridled expansion of the global economy, given its huge scale and rapid growth, will result in this manmade economic colossus eventually reaching a point in human history when it becomes patently unsustainable in a finite world with make-up and size of Earth.

Steven Earl Salmony
AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population,
established 2001
http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/index.php


Follow up for those interested

RE: my above question about Obama's advisers, I found this wiki site that is tracking them. Didn't see much in the way of scientists on the team.

http://policy.wikia.com/wiki/Obama_advisors

George

George Mobus, Associate Professor, Institute of Technology, University of Washington Tacoma, and Professional Student for Life

Obamas Advisors

This isn't exactly what you're looking for, but his foreign policy advisors are all from the military industrial complex.  That should tell you quite a bit, and none of it is good.

People don't starve because others grow food

Humankind is also the only organism on Earth that is capable of self-loathing.

Malthus and the equivalent of today's AGW Fundamentalist could not imagine, nor would they have granted deniers of the day, the possibility of the technical improvements we now take for granted.

Automated application of seed, water, and fertilizer based upon GPS data and computer models?

Geometric population expansion Fundamentalists laughed at the Deniers who suggested that as per capita production reached certain levels (known to be impossible by Fundamentalists) that societies would hover just above "replacement level".

But back to the toddler's view that there are poor people because there are rich people...

I suggest that you look for a job as a sustainability analyst in a sub-Saharan African village. They consume very little. They also produce very little. It doesn't leave a lot left over to support hand-wringing as a profession.

The only threat to "sustainability" is desire to regress.

"...a 90 percent chance that the US has contributed .2 degrees F of temperature increase in the last 50 years..." The IPCC Consensus in perspective

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