Staff Contributors
Guest Contributors

The limitless resource

Energy efficiency is the core climate solution, part 2

Posted by Joseph Romm (Guest Contributor) at 4:51 PM on 25 Jul 2008

Energy efficiency is by far the biggest low-carbon resource available. It is also, as we'll see, every bit as renewable as wind power, solar photovoltaic, and solar baseload.

People who have little experience with what serious energy efficiency investments can do for a company or a state -- this means you, neoclassical economists who consistently overestimate the cost of climate mitigation! -- think it is a one-shot resource wherein you pick the low hanging fruit. In fact, fruit grow back. The efficiency resource never gets exhausted because technology keeps improving and knowledge spreads to more and more people.

After leading the country in comprehensive efficiency efforts that have kept per capita electricity demand flat for three decades, California does not merely believe it can continue at this pace, they plan to accelerate their efforts and actually keep electricity demand itself flat. I have discussed California's efforts and plans in previous posts, and will discuss them further in part 3.

The focus of this post is the best corporate example of the inexhaustible nature of the energy efficiency resource -- Dow Chemical's Louisiana division.

You might have predicted that by 1982, after two major energy shocks, if any company in the country had captured the low-hanging fruit of energy savings, it would be one as energy intensive as a world-class chemical manufacturer. Nonetheless, energy manager for the division's more than 20 plants, Ken Nelson, began a yearly contest in 1982 to identify and fund energy-saving projects. His success was nothing short of astonishing.

The first year had 27 winners requiring a total capital investment of $1.7 million with an average annual return on investment (ROI) of 173 percent. After those projects, many in Dow felt that there couldn't be others with such high returns. The skeptics were wrong. The 1983 contest had 32 winners requiring a total capital investment of $2.2 million in a 340 percent return -- a savings of the company's $7.5 million in the first year and every year after that.

Even as fuel prices declined in the mid-1980s, the savings kept growing. Contest winners increasingly achieved the economic gains through process redesign to improve production yield and capacity. By 1988, these productivity gains exceeded the energy and environmental gains. The average return to the 1989 contest was the highest ever, an astounding 470 percent in 1989, 64 projects costing $7.5 million saved the company $37 million a year -- a payback of 11 weeks.

Anyone would predict that after 10 years, and nearly 700 projects, the 2,000 employees would be tapped out of ideas. Yet the contest in 1991, 1992, 1993 each had in excess of 120 winners with an average return of 300 percent. Total savings to Dow from the projects of just those three years exceeded $75 million a year.

Here's the shocking part [PDF]:

Far from instantly spreading throughout the chemical industry, Nelson's techniques have hardly even spread through Dow. Worse, in 1993, Nelson retired; reorganization wiped out his coordinating committee; and any continuing efforts can no longer be tracked.

Dow's loss was, however, the Department of Energy's gain because 1993 happened to be the year I came to DOE as special assistant to the department's chief operating officer, the deputy secretary. After benchmarking a number of the best companies, it was obvious that Dow's approach was one of the most successful. The only question was whether the department could duplicate Dow's results?

As a $15 billion agency, the Department of Energy is involved in a variety of activities that consume energy and generate waste, from basic research to the production of electronic equipment. Although our various divisions had robust pollution prevention programs, I was certain that some of the largest opportunities were being missed. To find and fund the project with the highest return on investment, we reorganized our Waste Minimization and Pollution Prevention Executive Board, with the department's chief operating officer as the chair and myself as the Executive Director.

We hired Ken Nelson to train several of our facility staffs around the country on Dow's program. We held a "Return-On-Investment" contest. As at Dow many in the department were skeptical that such opportunities existed. Yet, the first two rounds of the contest identified and funded 18 projects that cost $4.6 million and provided the department with $10 million in savings every year, while avoiding more than 100 tons of low-level radioactive pollution and other kind of waste. In addition, one special project identified by the contest but funded separately cost $4.2 million to implement a provider department a one-time savings of 37.6 million, a stunning 1,300 percent ROI.

Finally, on the basis of the success of this headquarters-based program, many of DOE's regional operating officers decided to run their own contests. They funded 260 projects costing $20 million that have been estimated to achieve annual savings of $90 million a year.

If an organization as big and bureaucratic as the U.S. Department of Energy could do this, any company can. So whenever the country gets really serious about high energy prices and global warming, I expect we will achieve energy savings beyond what even the biggest technology optimists believe.

This post was created for ClimateProgress.org, a project of the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

What did you do with the savings

Wow, spectacular numbers!

What did the DOE do with the money it saved?

Why did it stop at Dow?...

..and not spread?  It sounds like the well-known Zuboff results that Gar Lipow talks about in his Z article, where spectacular savings don't seem to impress management.  Is this something employee-ownership-and-control would ameliorate, because the employees are more worried about the company as a whole as opposed to the managerial narrow focus on a division?

Rebound

What is your solution to the rebound problem produced by energy efficiency?  The money Dow/DOE saved will have gone to some other economic activity which will have consumed energy.  Energy efficiency on its own has the paradoxical effect of increasing energy use because it is effectively reducing the cost of energy.

Would you combine it with raising energy prices through some other means?  A fundamental part of the puzzle is politically effective ways to make energy - particularly carbon-based energy - more expensive than it is now, relative to other inputs.

Thx ngoddard

I've asked the same question about rebound effects several times, but the author doesn't seem to be willing to address it.

And indeed, energy efficiency works both ways, for dirty processes and technologies too. Imagine a much more efficient process for the production of coal-to-liquids... :-) There goes your "core climate solution".

In any case, despite Romm's somewhat fuzzy notes about efficieny and his wegdes, it's quite obvious that there are many ways in which efficiency can play a key role in mitigating climate change, given that few rebound effects really backfire seriously. The Bellona Foundation sees efficiency & lifestyle choices as the biggest wedge in a scenario to reduce emissions by 85% by 2050, giving it a share of 25%; this surpasses carbon-negative bioenergy, which it gives a share of 22%. All other renewables combined represent around 10%.

So Romm's notes can be compared with those of scientists on several points.  

Rebound effect

There is a way to direct the money saved to more emissions reductions. It is called Energy Rewards and creates a positive feedback system where the more you reduce the more you get to spend on emissions reductions. The approach applies to any community resource where there are limits such as water. The idea is very simple. Everyone pays a little more for energy (or water). Everyone gets some money back but the money is distributed in inverse proportion to the amount of money spent on the resource BUT the money you receive must be spent on infrastructure to conserve the resource or in the case of emissions to reduce emissions. We are half way through writing a book explaining in detail the approach that is a general solution to the "Tragedy of the Commons"

Here is a condensed version of chapter 4. My comments under Fickle Pickle in the discusssion is a better explanation.

http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=7662

You can also view the first chapter at http://cscoxk.wordpress.com/2008/06/08/a-solution-to-the- ...

Another way to avoid rebound...

...is to make a certain base amount of electricity/heating and cooling services free, with anything above that costing much more.  So, for instance, say the government installed a free geothermal heat pump under every building, and some PV/storage on the roof to run it.  Now, most of your heating/cooling is free, but if you wanted even more, you could go out to the grid and buy more, but at a steep price.  Or, the government puts lots of PV/storage on your roof or wind farms in your city, and you get a certain amount of kwh per month free, but the rest is expensive.  Then you're being very efficient and socially just, but you're not encouraging overconsumption.

Tech neutrality and personal carbon allowances

Jon, the government should be technology neutral. Installing geothermal pumps or solar panels is way too expensive, given that alternative renewables like biomass or wind are far more competitive.

If you allow the government to push uncompetitive renewables, you take away exactly the incentive needed for these renewables to become more efficient and thus more competitive, and thus more carbon effective.

So better let the market decide, and add a system of personal carbon allowances, to ensure that the energy citizens buy is clean and low carbon.

Rebound effect is quite small

As I and others have explained many times, the rebound effect is typically quite small -- at most 20%, and probably much less, possibly 10%.

One of the best recent studies is "Fuel Efficiency and Motor Vehicle Travel: The Declining Rebound Effect," by two University of California economists. Also, you can Google "CAFE rebound effect" and find lots of articles and PowerPoint presentations.

If your refrigerator cut energy use in half, you don't double the amount of refrigeration you use.  You hardly pay attention to the energy issue at that level-- that's why appliance standards are so effective.  Now it is true that as people get wealthier, they tend to use more energy, but that is completely distinct from the so-called rebound effect.

Also, the notion that money saved from reducing energy use will get used on some other energy consuming activity is true.  But so what. If I reduce $100 in energy use, and then spend it on another activity, let's say, buying a new filing cabinet, then only about 10% of the cost of the filing cabinet represents embedded energy.  So I have still reduced net energy use 90%.

This will be clearer when I discuss what California has done, in Part 3.

Good point Joe

If electric fuel for a plugin hybrid is 1/4 the price of gas for the same mileage, will people drive 4 times as much?  I doubt it.  maybe their driving will go back up to where it was when gas was 2 dollars per gallon, maybe rising 20%?  

GHG savings are still what they were without the 20% increase, since the electric fuel can come from renewables.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Jonas,

I was just trying to show another alternative, even if it was rather extreme.  However, I really don't care how the looming climate/energy crisis is solved, by the government or by the market.  Geothermal heat pumps and PV have advantages beyone cost, that is, the resilience and decentralization of power that they cause.  I don't see how they would affect other forms of renewable energy: they wouldn't be enough to cover all energy needs.

Lifestyle change

Lifestyle change from a shift in values could lead to efficiency gains.

What is it really that humans get from energy consuming technology?  Quality of life and quantity of possesions and consumption.

If happiness and fulfillment are attained through quality of life rather than quantity, it will use less energy as less consumption occurs.

Ride a mountain bike instead of a gas guzzling ATV or four wheel drive vehicle in the woods.  It's a good illustration of quality versus quantity.

It follows through all human activites.  And could make a huge difference.  Eventually renewable energy would be more than enough to meet reduced demand.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

You are not logged in. Thus, you cannot post a comment. If you have an account, log in. If you don't have an account, well, by all means go make one! Meet you back here in five.
sign in
Search Gristmill
Subscribe
  • subscribe via RSSStay updated with the Gristmill RSS feed.
  • Add to My Yahoo!
  • Subscribe with Bloglines
  • Subscribe in NewsGator Online
  • Subscribe in Netvibes
  • Subscribe in Google
Using Gristmill
  • What is Gristmill?
  • Posting rules
The comments of Gristmill users reflect the opinions of those individuals only, and do not necessarily reflect the viewpoints of Grist, its staff, its board members, their psychotherapists, or their aestheticians. Got it?

Gristmill is powered by Scoop.

ADVERTISING POLICY


About Grist | Support Grist | Job Board | Archives | Grist by Email | RSS | Podcast
Gristmill Blog | In the News | Ask Umbra | Muckraker | Victual Reality | 'Tis the Season | The Grist List | The Bottom Line



Grist: Environmental News and Commentary
a beacon in the smog (tm) ©2008. Grist Magazine, Inc. All rights reserved. Gloom and doom with a sense of humor®.
Webmaster | Sitemap | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Trademarks