Staff Contributors
Staff Contributors
Adam Browning
Adam Stein
Alan Durning
Andrew Dessler
Andrew Sharpless
Ariane Lotti
Ben Tuxworth
biodiversivist
Brad Johnson
Coby Beck
Edward Mazria
Eric de Place
Erik Hoffner
Frank O'Donnell
Gar Lipow
Glenn Hurowitz
Guest author
Jason D Scorse
Jim Goodman
JMG
John McGrath
John McQuaid
Jon Rynn
Joseph Romm
Josh Dorner
Ken Ward
Kit Stolz
Laura Hess
Lisa J. Bunin
Lou Bendrick
Maywa Montenegro
Melinda Henneberger
Meredith Niles
Michael Hoexter
Michael Moynihan
Miles Grant
Sean Casten
Sharon Astyk
Steph Larsen
Stephanie Paige Ogburn
Summer Rayne Oakes
Thomas Dobbs
Van Jones
Zoe Bradbury


Cap-and-trade and fairness for working families

A second opportunity to make climate pricing fair

Posted by Alan Durning (Guest Contributor) at 3:26 PM on 07 Feb 2008

Climate policy pie chart_336Climate policy offers an enormous opportunity not only to undo our fossil-fuel addiction and build a stable energy future, but also to reverse the natural unfairness of climate change itself.

I've said it before: energy prices are going up no matter what, with or without climate policy. But smart policy can turn rising costs into broadly shared benefits. It can shield working families, fund a shift to a clean future of new technologies, compact communities, and a trained, green-collar workforce.

Building economic fairness into climate policy is a no-brainer: there are several viable ways to make it happen. In my last post, I described a means to it called "Cap-and-Dividend," in which most public proceeds from auctioning carbon emissions permits finance a program of payments to each citizen. Another approach that shields working families from high energy prices (PDF) comes from Robert Greenstein, founder and chief of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. CBPP is the Washington, DC-based think tank that bird-dogs the federal budget on behalf of poor families. Greenstein wrote the plan with colleagues Sharon Parrott and Arloc Sherman.

In short, in this plan climate dividends go only to families with very low incomes, to buffer them from cost increases. It's Cap and Dividend, but only families who need it most get a dividend. Call it "Cap and Buffer." Greenstein suggests compensating the poorest fifth of families for energy price increases and also providing some assistance to those in the second fifth of the income ladder. These families, according to Greenstein, stand to pay between $750 and $950 extra each year for fuel and other goods, once climate policy boosts energy prices enough to reduce emissions by an initial 15 percent. (Without climate policy in place, the only dividends from rising prices are going to energy companies.)

The good news is that Cap and Buffer isn't an exorbitant proposition. Auctioning greenhouse gas emission permits would generate seven times more money than would be needed to cover the extra costs for poor and near-poor families.

Greenstein and his coauthors pay special attention to the practicalities of delivering money to millions of poor families in the United States. They write:

"No single mechanism is likely to reach most of the low-income population. Fortunately, there are two existing delivery mechanisms that, between them, can largely accomplish this task: the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and the electronic benefit transfer (EBT) system that states already use to provide various types of state and federal assistance [such as food stamps and Medicare's prescription drug benefit] to low-income families and individuals through a debit card."

EITC and EBT debit cards could together reach three-fourths of eligible low-income US families immediately and a greater number later, as outreach campaigns bring more and more families onboard. Other mechanisms can't match that promise - I'll explain why below.

One plus of Cap and Buffer--as shown in the chart above--is that it leaves 85 percent of climate-pricing proceeds for other public purposes. Greenstein mentions things like clean-energy research, transitional assistance for fossil-fuel workers, and cost-covering budget increases for schools and other public agencies whose energy bills may rise. If lawmakers choose, Greenstein volunteers, they could expand income assistance to middle-class families by enacting a progressive payroll tax refund instead of, or in addition to, the EITC. In this way, the climate dividend could go to people further up the income ladder.

Cap and Buffer is both elegant and practical. It matches funds neatly to needs. It would be easy to administer once passed. And it has a frugality about it that I like.

What's more, the states and provinces of Cascadia could get started on Cap and Buffer right away--without waiting for action from Washington, DC or Ottawa. Oregon already has its own earned-income tax credit on its state income tax, to which legislators could add a climate-pricing dividend. British Columbia, California, Idaho, and Montana have income taxes to which they could add earned-income tax credits.

Washington, which lacks a state income tax, could achieve the same result through a Working Families Credit, as recently proposed by the Washington State Budget and Policy Center. This ingenious proposal would involve distributing payments to state residents on the basis of their federal income tax returns.

Cap and Buffer has administrative advantages over Cap and Dividend. Still, it has a political disadvantage. The poorest fifth of families--or even the poorest two-fifths of families--may lack the political muscle to defend a climate dividend.

Dividing the proceeds from auctioned cap and trade could become the political version of an exploding piñata: everyone rushing to secure what they can. The climate-pricing piñata may have hundreds of billions of dollars in it. That's plenty to go around, but advocates for low-income families often don't fare well in such contests.

Their best hope may be in allying themselves with advocates for more-powerful groups such as the middle class. Their argument, in essence, would be that everyone at the party should get an equal share of the piñata. That is, Cap-and-Dividend.

This argument is one side of a long-running strategy debate among antipoverty advocates: should benefits only go to people in need (to meet those needs as cost effectively as possible) or should they go to everyone (to build a political base strong enough to support the benefits)? The latter approach, sometimes called "majoritarian," favors social insurance programs that help both middle and working classes.

Such programs include some of the most successful economic fairness initiatives around, such as unemployment insurance and Social Security. Indeed, there's no political substitute for the buy-in of the middle class. Europe's social safety nets are largely majoritarian, not poor-focused, and that may be why Europe has so much less poverty than North America.

Cap and Buffer is poor-focused; Cap-and-Dividend is majoritarian. It creates a new guarantee to citizens that would help low-income families the most but would also help other families. Once enacted, it would be politically difficult to take away.

I'm not taking sides in this debate, though I lean toward the majoritarians. I'm just happy to report a second way to mitigate climate pricing's financial cost to working families.

A third way is to help families save money through better energy efficiency. I'll write about that soon.

P.S. For the public administration wonks, here's a summary of Greenstein's arguments against some other administrative mechanisms for distributing climate-pricing mitigation money to working families.

Can we distribute it through the US Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP)--a long-running program that helps some hard-hit families heat and cool their homes and also contributes to energy efficiency upgrades for them? Boosting LiHEAP makes sense, but it can't do the main job. The program misses the vast majority of working families.

Through utility companies' bill-payer assistance programs? No. Utilities don't know who is low-income. Plus, most of the effects of climate pricing won't be on utility bills.

A new federal agency? No. Needless duplication and administrative cost.

A payroll tax rebate? No - or not exclusively. More than half of the lowest income families pay no payroll tax. They're retired or disabled. Besides, a payroll tax rebate for low-income families would essentially have to be distributed through the income tax filing system, and many low-income families do not have to file income tax returns.

A refundable income tax credit? This is one way a Cap-and-Dividend might work: rather than distributing checks to each family separately, it would be rolled into the income tax system. Middle- and upper-income families would get their climate dividend as a reduction in their tax bill. Low-income families would get them as a tax refund--even if they hadn't paid income taxes. (That's what makes it "refundable.") Greenstein dismisses this idea, because many low-income households do not file income tax returns. Smaller, state-based credits have not succeeded in motivating low-income families to file returns in order to get refunds for which they qualify. (I'm unconvinced by this argument. Under Cap-and-Dividend, payments to families might be easily $700 per person. I think that's enough money to motivate most people to file a return. In fact, it seems to me that Greenstein's delivery mechanisms for low-income families mesh nicely with Cap-and-Dividend: most folks get their dividend through a refundable income tax credit, very poor families also get a climate dividend on their EBT debit card.)

P.P.S. Is the term "Cap and Share," which is employed in Ireland, better or worse than "Cap and Dividend" or "Sky Trust"? What do you think? Do you like the term "Cap and Buffer"?

Good intentions, questionable policy

I'm glad you made the point about majoritarian politics. Really the essential benefit of cap-and-dividend programs, as I see it, is their ability to invest a large portion of population in solutions to climate change. Turning cap-and-dividend into a social welfare program not only removes this benefit, it actively undermines it by dragging in the freighted politics of income redistribution.

Everyone is eyeing the pot of money from auctioned allowances. I personally find some potential recipients (e.g., the poor) to be a lot more sympathetic than others (e.g., energy companies), but I see a lot of wisdom in skipping the whole debate and just giving the bulk of it back to the consumers who are actually bearing the cost.

www.terrapass.com/blog

Trading

Hedge fund trading in the mortgage industry was supposedly allowing "free" markets to enable more people to own homes.  We see how that worked.

Now trading carbon is supposed to help the poor and stop GHG disaster?  By using the buzzword, "dividend"?  This would be a joke if the political/financial powers that be were not so enamored with it.  

Make it too complicated to understand and it seems great?!?  That's the operative tactic here.  Get corporatarian think tankers to turn it into a bumpersticker and get that trading up and running!

Barack has fallen for it.

The only safe and sane way to encourage renewable alternatives to GHG disastrous energy policy status quo?  Subsidize renewable kwh directly, with 10 cent per kwh direct payments to homeowners, farmers, and businesses who produce clean energy.

Take the money to pay for these subsidies from subsidies for huge multinational energy companies with record profits.  

Meanwhile US bankers go begging to sell their businesses to global capital funds (to further the bail out from the hedge fund enabled mortgage crisis), a trillion dollar middle east oil fund and another huge Norwegian oil based capital fund.  Will the big money pressure US to remain on the oil energy path?  That's my guess.  Big interview on CNBC today all about this situation.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

I know this sounds pie-in-the-sky...

...but as a different kind of "majoritarian" idea, why not provide the kinds of infrastructure, particularly in cities, that poor people need, and that would have the consequence of keeping their costs down?  

For instance, good public transit (even free) would eliminate the need for a car, helping the environment and even reducing transportation costs; what about building new housing, with geothermal underneath and solar on top, so that the poor, again, would have lower energy bills (and better housing), and help the environment.  

If you throw affordable, high-quality child-care for working poor in the mix, I'm sure the poor would be in better shape, not to mention that it would be a great way to show the rest of the country (and world) that green technologies are practical.

bust a cap or trade it

"We'll tell you at what rate you can dispense death."

-William McDonough, wisely noting what truly happens when the government regulates pollution.  

Isn't it outrageous that we even have to set limits on something so atrocious?  It's like saying: "Genocide is wrong, so we're going to limit the number of citizens a dictator can murder to 10,000."  

Avoid the piñata

Alan is right that any successful climate policy must consider how increased energy costs will affect households.  A carbon cap is like a regressive sales tax on necessities, regardless of whether permits are given away or auctioned.  The CBO estimates that a 15% reduction in CO2 emissions will cost the average household $1,280.    When emissions are reduced 80% or more, the costs to households will rise far above this.

While the CBPP proposal would help protect the poorest of the population, the political disadvantages of Cap and Buffer should be take seriously.  We must keep in mind that the race to halt the planet's warming will be a marathon, not a sprint.  For a climate policy to work, it has to remain in effect for at least forty years, or ten presidential terms.  When prices climb in response to the diminishing supply of fossil fuel energy, the backlash from the public will put heat on our lawmakers to pull the plug on the program.

Additionally, leaving 85% of auction revenue for the government to do with as it pleases is not necessarily a good thing.  According to a study by Friends of the Earth, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act would return almost $400 billion in auction revenue to the fossil fuel industry, prolonging our addiction to dirty energy and making it harder for clean energy like wind and solar to compete.

Alan's image of an exploding piñata is apt, but we want to shape policy that avoids that type of money grabbing.  A policy that returns auction revenue equally to all citizens, regardless of income level, would avoid a corporate feeding frenzy.  Furthermore, equal dividends would create a clear incentive to conserve; those families that guzzle fossil fuels will get back less than they pay, while families that conserve will come out ahead.  Creating a policy that is transparent, inclusive and fair has the greatest likelihood of success.


You are not logged in. Thus, you cannot post a comment. If you have an account, log in. If you don't have an account, well, by all means go make one! Meet you back here in five.
sign in
Search Gristmill
Subscribe
  • subscribe via RSSStay updated with the Gristmill RSS feed.
  • Add to My Yahoo!
  • Subscribe with Bloglines
  • Subscribe in NewsGator Online
  • Subscribe in Netvibes
  • Subscribe in Google
Using Gristmill
  • What is Gristmill?
  • Posting rules
The comments of Gristmill users reflect the opinions of those individuals only, and do not necessarily reflect the viewpoints of Grist, its staff, its board members, their psychotherapists, or their aestheticians. Got it?

Gristmill is powered by Scoop.

ADVERTISING POLICY


About Grist | Support Grist | Job Board | Archives | Grist by Email | RSS | Podcast
Gristmill Blog | In the News | Ask Umbra | Muckraker | Victual Reality | 'Tis the Season | The Grist List | The Bottom Line



Grist: Environmental News and Commentary
a beacon in the smog (tm) ©2008. Grist Magazine, Inc. All rights reserved. Gloom and doom with a sense of humor®.
Webmaster | Sitemap | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Trademarks