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Fire and rain

The 'hell' before the 'high water' in the U.S.

Posted by Jon Rynn (Guest Contributor) at 10:29 AM on 23 Feb 2008

I just wanted to alert Grist readers to an excellent post at The Oil Drum called "Fire and Rain: The Consequences of Changing Climate on Rainfall, Wildfire and Agriculture." The author points out that "Current climate change predictions for much of the West show increased precipitation in the winter or spring, along with earlier and drier summers." To summarize his post, the drier summers will have profound impacts on the forests, grasslands, and agricultural areas.

It seems that many kinds of trees are very delicately attuned to particular patterns of precipitation and temperature; changes lead to weakening, disease, and then "megafires" that are much more destructive than "normal" fires. The author discusses the biggest fires in American history, over 100 years ago, that seem to have been caused by the massive deforestation then occurring. A question I have is, is the dessication of the American West similar to the accelerating dessication of the Amazon, both the result of deforestation?

The post also discusses the plight of agricultural areas; basically, you're damned if you depend on rainfall that will be decreasing during the summer, and you're damned if you depend on irrigation, because the aquifers and mountain ice packs are decreasing. He details the effects on grains and other agricultural produce. I didn't know that potatoes, orchards, and vegetables all depend on irrigation for most of their water needs.

I realize that modeling the long-term behavior of the climate is hard enough, but it seems to me that it would be important to model the effects of those changes on our local ecosystems as well.

Remember

The water shortage you are pointing to is very scary.  I just want to  remind people that we have a relationship with the elements, and can call forth the rains.  It is time to remember.

Assumptions

People here assume that our forest problems and wildfires are solely from "climate change". They're in denial about overstocking, which pumps water out of the ground, putting the entire forest ecosystem at risk. I've spouted plenty of scientific studies and observations but, people just choose to ignore some of the best scientific minds in the forest. Forest management deniers are destroying the forests, and there's no way to stop them. We all see the same parallel with climate change deniers. Both kinds of deniers are willing to lose it all to support their faith-based, self-righteous pseudo-certainties.

It's obvious that no one here will change their minds about forest management. People will sacrifice the forests just to prop up their flawed agendas.

It's a shame that I will have to be proven right by seeing the forests going up in smoke. My conscience is clear. What about yours?!?

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Backcut,

at the risk of repeating links you have posted before, perhaps you can inform me as to what "overstocking" means.  I mentioned the problem of irrigation, and I have read that, for instance, the Oglala acquifer in the midwest is being dangerously depleted; and around the world, depleting aquifers is a terrible problem, and is one of the main, looming disasters that humans are engaging in in their (our) short-term ways of dealing with the world.  Is that what you're referring to?

Fire supression...

...also has much to do with it.  Supression of natural small-scale fires has built up fuel materials, causing more large-scale fires as a whole.

and speaking of short-term thinking...

...there are several major processes going on that will lead to ecosystem collapse, even without global warming; if these processes continue as they are, the resources that are being used up will simply all disapper:

  1. deforestation
  2. soil destruction
  3. aquifer depletion
  4. overfishing

That's just in the general category, perhaps, of overshoot.  Then there are processes that I suppose could be called, I don't know, choking the ecosystems, tasermons:

  1. fuel build-up in forests
  2. nitrogen-based fertilizers creating dead zones in oceans and lakes
  3. maybe in this category, global warming


Cost

How much are these disasters going to cost?  Firestorms with whole regions going up in flames.

Wouldn't it be worth avoiding that outcome?  Worth investing in green jobs, by stimulating the depressed, failing economy with renewable energy and conservation.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Re: Assumptions

Backcut; the problem you describe is the surplus of small diameter wood and brush. Most of this is in previously logged areas where clear-cuts and subsequent fire suppression has prevented the normal "natural" thinning or shading of these small trees. Everyone knows that this overgrowth is a fire hazard. Now you claim that those evil little trees are sucking up all the water too? How dare they!

First the "real" water problem in the Sacramento valley is that water is being shipped south to arid or semi-arid areas to grow water intensive crops with few attempts at water conservation being made in the destination area. In the actual Sacramento river basin row crops are being replaced with water-thrifty orchards; particularly walnuts that grow on native root stock. The water problems have nothing to do with locally available water and have more to do with poor resource use. As others have noted, if sea levels rise a mere two feet shipping water through the Sacramento delta becomes an unworkable proposition.

The "old growth" forests were products of regular early and late season burns by native americans for the purpose of acorn and game production. These burn schedules probably went back thousands of years. A return to this kind of burning would probably help the overall health of the forest but logging communities seem to object. Part of the reason is probably that they don't maintain proper fire breaks around their own houses and towns.

So the proposed solution is that we let the loggers cut the remaining old growth and they'll agree to cut the second growth also. This won't really help much as some areas are completely second growth with no old growth to provide funds for the cut.

So until Congress allows biomass harvest from national forests (don't hold your breath) for pyrolisis with retention and sequestration of char as carbon capture and soil treatment. (i.e. when the pope is a bear) Until then, it's fire that's going to do the work and firefighting will be a spectator sport.

Finally as the majority of water storage was always in the snowpack above the tree line your original argument is moot. Without the snowpack there isn't going to be the kinds of flows we've been used to; period. Without the delta the water cannot go south without a major water project. If the sea level rises the last thing we are going to have money for in the bankrupt state of California is.....another water project. Particularly one that the voters have voted down repeatedly.

The solution to megafires is to burn early, burn late and burn often and establish fuel denial regimes. If property owners can't maintain proper fire clearances tough cookies. All the kings horses and all the kings men are not going to save your house if it's too close to the fuel and the day is wrong.

The days when we could push the planet around are gone. We learn to live within the limits of the environment or go extinct.

Nature bats last.

Put the Carbon Back

so pangolin, southern california turns

back to sagebrush when the sea levels rise? thanks for the tutorial.

Overstocking

Is just the fact that there are too many "stems per acre" for the amount of available water. Old growth trees grew up with LOTS of water available, because the forests were managed by American Indians. Some of today's forests have more than 100 times the "natural" amount of trees, and they're removing all the soil moisture that the shallow-rooted old growth so desperately needs. The San Bernardino National Forest lost at least 12 million trees partly because of this.

Please read Dr. Helms' testimony to Congress, posted on the "High Cost of Doing Nothing" thread. He so eloquently explains what must be done to save our forests.

You can't place all the blame for our forest problems on "Climate Change". That's the easy way out. The problem is way more complex than that. We ALL are to blame for letting our forests become what they are today----> a slow motion disaster that few will acknowledge.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Be proactive!

Instead of just stating the obvious and throwing up your hands, blaming global warming, blaming fire suppression, blaming logging, blaming eco's, why don't we look to the future and deal with this problem???

Why?!?!? Because of partisan politics, eco-lawyers, lumber mill owners and ignorant high judges.

Looks like it's too late to save the forests, from my point of view. Too much "inertia" to stop many more millions of acres from going up in smoke (and toxic GHG's)

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Pangolin

NO ONE is proposing to cut all the old growth. Even the lumber mills! Most lumber mills penalize loggers for bringing in "oversize" logs. Your response is the typical ignorant kneejerk reaction of a preservationist who refuses to see the big picture.

This is why I have no hope for our forests. Go ahead and burn down that strawman, along with our old growth.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Too many trees

The answer?  More industrial logging that leaves everything they can't sell in the woods to feed the next fire?

That's been the problem all along, forestry strictly for short term profit.

What is need is a non-profit, government program to clean up dead and dying wood and recycle it, before it all goes up in huge firestorms.  A new Civilian Conservation Corps, green jobs saving the forest.

Economic stimulus directly into the most under employed, poverty stricken pockets.  And a revival of forestry jobs, formerly logging jobs.  Take the dead and dying trees and put them to good use, as paper pulp, chip board, or biomass for biogas energy and organic fertilizer.

Put some of the organic fertilizer back in the ground with every new tree planted.  Unforthunately the super computer genuises at Lawrence/Livermore have convinced everyone that trees cause global climate change.  kind of reiterating the raygun notion.

It's now going to be an uphill battle to get trees planted where trees are growing now.  The new administration will pay to have switchgrass fuel farms replacing forests.

Hard to fight cellulosic ethanol when you vote for a guy that's in favor of it.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

foresters and climate change

Backcut: I've enjoyed your comments on the various threads lately, and while I think you are right that there's more to this issue than just climate change, I encourage you to take a look at what the Forestry Guild is saying on the topic of climate change and forestry planning:

http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2008/1/6/162022/2279

They're making recommendations to manage for climate change, anticipating catastrophic conversions in some areas due to temperature rises, but of course do advocate that overstocking be addressed aggressively, as you suggest.

Erik

The Orion Grassroots Network: supporting grassroots groups working for conservation, justice, & more

More kneejerk reactions

Thanks for illustrating so very well, DrX! Ya know, 10" diameter trees ARE merchantable to make boards (which sequester carbon). Sure, blames the LAST MILLENIUM'S foresters. Sure, blame Smokey Bear.

The absolute truth is that everyone is "enabling" the forests to burn by ignoring science. We have a problem and people aren't willing to do what it takes to save our forests, clinging to their sadly flawed agendas. Both the eco's AND the Bush Administration agree that forests must burn.

Now hug them snags!! And manzanita. And whitethorn. Embrace the erosion! Welcome the hydrophobic soils! Fill your lungs with the smoke of the firewood that heats our atmosphere!!!! Bask in the ignorance of Presidential candidates on both sides of the aisle. Build the biggest strawman you can (the FLAMES!!! the FLAMES!!!!!!)

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Thanks, Eric

I was a member of the Guild and I generally support their message, being a middle-of-the-roader, myself.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com
"Merchantable"

That means, big enough to sell offshore, right?

I think all that recyclable wood ought to be sold.  The solid saw logs as furniture and homes.  All processed right here in the USA.  

The wood suitable for pulp or chipboard, and even the biogas and organic fertilizer from the least solid stuff left over.

But i think government employees in a civilian conservation corps should get the forestry jobs.  Contractors would hire illegal crews for less than minimum wage with no benefits.  This is not a good way to stimulate the economy.

It merely stimunlates corrupt cronyism, between forestry administrators and logging companies, the same mess that got uS into this firestorm danger.

Why did eco-activists try to stop logging?  Because it's a disaster.  Loggers and their friendly foresters could have reformed the system to clean up and recycle dead wood long ago.  But it isn't "merchantable".  Hehey.  

So they lost control of "their" forests.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Backcut and Dr. Helms;

Here's the testimony from Dr. Helms, by the way.

I quickly looked at the Sierra Club website, Backcut, since they seem to be implied in your criticisms, this seems to be their position in general:

The Sierra Club strongly supports prescribed burns as a way to restore fire's natural role to the forest. Sierra Club supports fuel reduction projects near homes and communities. For a decade the Sierra Club has been urging the Forest Service to do more prescribed burning, reduce flammable brush near communities and we've been asking Congress to devote more money to do the job right. The Forest Service should stop pushing for commercial logging and put more resources towards protecting lives and communities.

I don't know the history of this controversy, but to say that there is a lack of trust of attempts to sell the products of forests is quite an understatement.  So it seems to me that, much more than environmentalists, it's the loggers (and the Bush Administration) that are the main problem

The other problem is probably the lack of money to clear the fuel and perform other necessary maintenance (?) in the forests; 180 million acres is a large space.  

I think environmentalists, or more generally the public, is much easier to reach than the loggers and much easier than getting the necessary funds.


oh, and dr.x, that all sounds great...

...maybe it would help in the trust department if the output from the fuel reduction was government controlled and the revenues went into something specific, like more forest management/restoration.  

I've actually never understood why private companies should be logging; forests belong to the people as far as I am concerned, government companies would be easier to control than private ones.  I mean, most oil is now controlled by national companies, why are any natural resources controlled by private companies?

Typical "mistruths"

Law says that most Federal logs MUST be processed domestically. More flawed agenda, DrX. Regarding government forestry workers, there's no one to take the place of retirees and the level of expertise is dropping rapidly. This bodes well for eco-lawyers to litigate and enjoy big profits, as forestry projects are becoming more and more complex, with outside oversight (enlightened oversight is not a bad thing, in my mind).

People dance around the forest problem, bringing up everything but sound science. "Mother Nature" will surely rebalance the land in ways us humans will surely not like. We have it within our power and intelligence to mitigate these problems if only people would open their minds. Otherwise, this "Let-Burn" program embraced by environmentalists and the Bush Administration will continue.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Sierra Club

Their policy is to fight against all forestry projects that cut even one "stick". Strict preservationism and eco-lawyer enhancement is their cup of tea. They tout fires as being "natural and beneficial".

I'm also waiting for people to attack Dr. Helms, instead of reading his words. KILL the messenger!!

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Jerry Franklin

Here's his recent testimony, presented by Norm Johnson to Congress. This startling turnabout from one of our nation's most respected forest ecologists went unnoticed by the eco-community

http://westinstenv.org/wp-content/KNJJFFTestimony.pdf

Please read with an open mind and be enlightened!

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Burn the "slash"

And sell the logs.  Same old plan, really lame. Except to save money contractors just leave "slash" to build up as fuel for forest fires. That slash is a valuable resource to be recycled.

Recycle all the dead potential fuel, that's the better plan.  Sure use the saw logs.

All I see here is a complcated excuse to let loggers into untouched preserves.  

Very carefully removing built up fuel from preservation areas should not include commercial logging contracts.  It should be done carefully under forest service direct management of CCC employees and environmental group scrutiny.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Obviously

you didn't read his testimony, DrX. Is your wife an eco-lawyer?!?!

"Untouched preserves"??? First you people say that there's so little of it left and then you say it's everywhere. Outside of National Parks and designated Wilderness, there's VERY little land that is "untouched".

Why not restore those forests, instead of letting them burn, often catastrophically? I'd be willing to bet that wildfires "offset" every hybrid and every CFL bulb on the planet. Priorities, folks, priorities!

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Wood for NGOs?

How about a plan that combines Dr. X's proposal of recycling slash (as eco-fuel, as chip/compost, as firewood, as reclaimed lumber for furniture, woodcraft, etc.) and removes "excess" smaller trees as lumber, BUT ONLY for donation (or sale to cover costs of forest management) to non-profit organizations:  Habitat for Humanity, Nature Conservancy, Peace Corps, National Parks, etc., that would use the wood to provide homeless shelters, poor/urban housing, National Park visitor centers, trail maintenance, park infrastructure, etc., etc.

The scientific theory behind removal of some young trees such that older trees have enough resources to flourish, and fuel is diminished, does not seem unsound to me;  it is the messenger that is difficult to trust. If you remove profit from the equation, does the message remain?

Kaela

Backcut, that's a better link

than Dr. Helms, I think, because it brings together the complexity of the system, although Helms was good too.  Some of the processes that jumped out at me where grazing, plantations, beetles, -- global warming -- and the importance of biodiversity, I liked the phrase "structural complexity".

You might think this is getting off the topic, but the term "resilience" seems to have come mostly from forest studies (there is a rather dense book called "Panarchy" on the subject, and Thomas Homer-Dixon makes it his organizing principle in his book "the upside of down").  I think the word will have more and more meaning as we discuss all of the ecosystems and economies that will have to be transformed to keep the planet alive.  The idea is that instead of maximizing the economic output of our planet, we need to mimic natural ecosystems and allow redundancies and diversity to dominate, not monoculture.

The importance of this for forestry management is that I think people are more open to ideas of diversity and complexity in ecosystems, including forests, which may help with public understanding.

Resilience

is a GREAT word, Jon. I've been preaching this idea for YEARS, that our forests should be drought resistant, bug resistant and fire resistant, just like they had been for millenia. I'm fully onboard with restoring forests back to their original splendor and function.

The "party line" says "forests have done great for millenia, why mess with them now?" Well, those people saying that just ignore the hundreds of millions of dead trees in our National Forests today.

Kaela has a great idea. We should not be wasting anything that comes from the woods, and to put it to non-profit uses is even better. Currently, where I live in California, no one will buy this slash, which is substantial and is currently removed from the forest and burned on the landing (sorry DrX, you're wrong again!). Thinning projects that use "whole-tree yarding" generate mountains of slash, and it is a requirement that loggers deal with it instead of leaving it out in the woods.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Backcut --

I've often read that there is a large amount of biomass that could be harvested from the forests -- and now I know where that would come from -- and I used to disregard this idea of forest biomass, not because of "don't touch", but because I was under the impression that the soil needed that extra biomass for regeneration.

Now assuming that's not a problem, any info on how much biomass from that forest fuel?  I'm sure I can find some figures if you don't have them, but it would be nice to plug in a number for a truly sustainable source of biomass -- as opposed to "biofuels" (see how it all links together?)

Irrigation

If you were surprised to hear that most vegetables in the US depend on irrigation, you should definitely consider reading the book "Cadillac Desert" by Marc Reisner.  It's a little out of date by now (last revised in 1993 I think), but it lays out the history of water in the West, up to that point, from Powell on the Colorado, to LA's usurping of the Owens Valley, the Dust Bowl, the massive water projects of the New Deal, and the irrigation of all of California.

Biomass

While I am not really a big fan of using forest waste for biofuels (and the reinforcement and support of our current wasteful vehicle fuel use), it is surely better to use this waste to offset coal and other harmful energies. An idea that just now popped into my head is to require the timber industry to completely remove and utilize this waste as alternative energies. Yes, they won't like having to deal with this but...

Restoring forests back to what they once were won't deplete soils, as the healthy, balanced forest ecosystem will provide ample nutrients to the soils in many ways. All too often, people focus on what is taken out of our forests instead of what is left. Removing the weedy and highly-flammable trees that do not belong there in the first place invigorates forest ecosystems in many ways (freeing up water and growing space are some of the nice side effects from thinning projects).

Cellulosic biofuels from the forests can only provide so much (if and when they finally arrive). We can't depend on a very large sustainable supply of it over the decades. AND, we just can't let our voracious appetite for vehicle fuels mow down our forests so that they are understocked. I'm all for putting massive dollars into funding truly clean sources of power for our American society. I'm convinced that the freedom that other forms of energy provide is the wave of the future.

Please be sure to read those articles by Dr Helms and Jerry Franklin/Norm Johnson. Since people won't believe what I have to say, see if you can trust these top scientists.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

to clarify, use for biofeedstocks, not fuel

Backcut, I'm working on a post about eliminating the use of petroleum, which involves, basically, advocating an all-electric transportation system, including lots of rail.  That still leaves off-road machinery, which maybe can be electrified, then feedstocks for things like the chemical industry, some of which should probably go away, but some things like some plastics may be recyclable.  Insofar as they can be made sustainably, forest biomass might be a good way to fill that slot in the current petroleum "ecosystem".  But yes, if people get the idea that they can chop down the forests to keep the "happy motoring" age going, it will spell disaster.

zaneselvans -- thanks for the link, as a California native I must say it looks rather grim for the south in terms of sustainability.

More on preservationism

The Sierra Club has sued in the 9th Circuit court and "won", stopping fuels reduction projects everywhere. They think that prescribed fire can, by itself, eliminate the fuel loading problems. Who are YOU going to trust? Their eco-lawyers, or the top forest ecologist in the country??!?

Another eco-lawsuit seeks to eliminate the use of fire retardants used on fires for decades. They say it kills fish. And firestorms don't?!?! What about the other forest values that burn and go directly into our atmosphere?

While preservationism is fine for designated wilderness areas and National Parks, in National Forests it is accelerating the loss of forests and all the things we love about them.

Restoration forestry is where it is at. Unfortunately, judges and eco-lawyers aren't any good at it.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Forest biofuel pyrolysis -> carbon neg. energy

Pangolin said it.  Seems still an avantgarde idea?

And if pyrolysis is too high tech (!!!...?), just burn it completely for local heating etc.  Here in Germany we have many local heat supply stations burning wood and scrubs from local forests.

Beyond the little sticks there's lots of elder growth to be cut away before the bark beetle gets at it.

Perhaps that makes just too much sense for U.S. style "economic" think...

Cool site: in my nature

Has anyone seen this site:
www.condenet.com/promo/inmynature

It's pretty interesting to me that Toyota (along with Diane Keaton...who knew?) is taking steps to be green. Also, they're sponsoring this season of PBS' Nature series--there's a schedule on the site.

Just wanted to share :)


New Science!

Here's some new science that people must read, about how our forests were intensively managed by American Indians. This also shows that lightning fires were much less instrumental in shaping the form and composition of our forests.

That being said, the Sierra Club wants to turn our forests back into what they were before man crossed the land bridge. The trouble with that is no one knows just what those forests looked like, back then. The native style of management produced mixed results but, it served their purposes and there was balance in their world, for the most part. Big healthy trees, very little understory, plentiful and easy to get game animals and bubbling perennial streams were the norm.

Today, we have forests that are 180 degrees away from that and the Sierra Club would rather see it all burn than to have a few stumps. They want to preserve a tinder-dry, dynamic unpreservable ecosystem that will go up in smoke, sooner than later.

Kay, Charles E. Are Lightning Fires Unnatural? A Comparison of Aboriginal and Lightning Ignition Rates in the United States. 2007. in R.E. Masters and K.E.M. Galley (eds.) Proceedings of the 23rd Tall Timbers Fire Ecology Conference: Fire in Grassland and Shrubland Ecosystems, pp 16-28. Tall Timbers Research Station, Tallahassee, FL.

Full text

http://westinstenv.org/wp-content/Kay_Lightning_Fires_vs_ ...

Selected excerpts:

ABSTRACT

It is now widely acknowledged that frequent, low-intensity fires once structured many plant communities. Despite an abundance of ethnographic evidence, however, as well as a growing body of ecological data, many professionals still tend to minimize the importance of aboriginal burning compared to that of lightning-caused fires. Based on fire occurrence data (1970-2002) provided by the National Interagency Fire Center, I calculated the number of lightning fires/million acres (400,000 ha) per year for every national forest in the United States. Those values range from a low of <1 lightning-caused fire/400,000 ha per year for eastern deciduous forests, to a high of 158 lightning-caused fires/400,000 ha per year in western pine forests. Those data can then be compared with potential aboriginal ignition rates based on estimates of native populations and the number of fires set by each individual per year. Using the lowest published estimate of native people in the United States and Canada prior to European influences (2 million) and assuming that each individual started only 1 fire per year--potential aboriginal ignition rates were 2.7-350 times greater than current lightning ignition rates. Using more realistic estimates of native populations, as well as the number of fires each person started per year, potential aboriginal ignition rates were 270-35,000 times greater than known lightning ignition rates. Thus, lightning-caused fires may have been largely irrelevant for at least the last 10,000 years. Instead, the dominant ecological force likely has been aboriginal burning.
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Of course, this will get buried amongst the blathering about Ralph Nader and coal-powered electric toothbrushes and which hybrid is greenest. People just don't want to hear the truth and will actively squelch it for their own selfishness and greed.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

thanks backcut...

...I was pondering whether the megafauna that existed before the Native Americans kept the fuel in forests low?

This just in!

Information collected from a model developed by the California Air-Resource Board Department to estimate emissions from forest fires indicated "burning one acre of coniferous forest emits on average 9 tons of CO, 0.6 tons of hydrocarbon particulates, 0.25 tons of nitrous oxide." It was calculated that it would take 1040 new cars driving 1250 miles(an average for one month of driving) to equal a one acre fire.

And we had 10 million acres burn in just the last year. Mind you, that all of those acres weren't in coniferous forests but every acre causes serious pollution and not just CO2

Also, state fire agencies, who are charged with structure protection much of the time, are becoming strapped for cash in fighting fires that roar off our National Forests and into communities who have to be evacuated. Many poorer western states just don't have that kind of cash. Will the Sierra Club insist that we adopt a let-burn policy of people's houses now? Maybe the intent of the Sierra Club is to "re-wild" every acre into "natural brushfields", including private property. Ask the folks who lost their homes in the Angora Fire!

How can people be so morally bankrupt to support such an agenda?!?

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Fun with numbers...

"burning one acre of coniferous forest emits on average 9 tons of CO, 0.6 tons of hydrocarbon particulates, 0.25 tons of nitrous oxide." It was calculated that it would take 1040 new cars driving 1250 miles(an average for one month of driving) to equal a one acre fire.

Uh, Backcut, the average American releases over 12,000 lbs of CO2 per year per vehicle (and many people own multiple vehicles).  12,000 lbs = 6 tons of CO2.  That 2/3 the amount ya stated come from an acre of forest burned.

By those calculations, it should take only 2 cars one year to produce more CO2 than an acre fire.  I'm not quite sure where ya get 1040 cars for a month (or the equal to 87 cars in a year) to get the same amount.

Then again, ya did say it was 1040 new CARS (but didn't specify what type or their fuel mileage), and of course many Americans don't drive cars (and many that do aren't very efficient), so maybe thats true.

I'm not sure 'bout the hydrocarbon or NO2 releases from average vehicles.

Please provide a link if ya can, I'd be interested to know where they get their numbers.


Read again, please

CO is carbon MONOXIDE!!

CO2 is carbon DIOXIDE!

The figure on CO2 coming from firestorms in dense forest is more like 300 tons of CO2 per acre, an addition to those other pollutants (including spotted owls, rare plants and the riparian vegetation that filters our drinking water, amongst others).

Quite the eye-opener, eh?

But, people don't care because scientifically-sound forest management deniers are willing to sacrifice their forests in clinging to the faith-based dogma drama of preservationism.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

I say torch it!

I mean that literally. We need to go into these brushy areas every day with a torch from April 1st till June 1st and see what we can light. On June 1st we stop and wait until the first few inches of rain has dropped after Oct. 1st and start again.

The overburden, the blackberry brambles, the snags, the dense clumps of undersized trees, that will burn first. Well that and all of west Marin county but that's a known hazard.

When low-intensity, out of season fires are allowed to burn, or encouraged to burn the high intensity fires can't find the fuel to get out of control. They hit the fire-breaks, drop down from the canopies and get smothered by cold night air. On the coast you can light fires as the fog comes in and the fog will kill them just as it smothered the Oakland fire.

Backcut's abstract there supports the idea and Native historians will tell us that is exactly what they did. You have to torch the underbrush under the oaks before the acorns drop so you can easily harvest them. Otherwise you have to try and hand pick them from leaf litter, grass and bramble instead of sweeping them into piles and scooping them up.

Low intensity fires also renew grasses and brambles so the the browse production and quality goes up for deer and bears. Anybody who walks forest paths knows that bear scat is blackberry in August-September and acorn and salmon (extinct) after that.

This kind of management is NOT going to happen as too many pricy homes were built up tight to piles of fuel so instead we are going with the mega-fires plan. That works out great for home-builders but stinks for the rest of us.

Put the Carbon Back

Ah...

...sorry, guess I misread.

Still, a link to the info and where the got those numbers would still be nice.

Quick survey

Scanning the California Air-Resources Board site, it is packed with all sorts of data about pollution from wildfires. While I didn't find the specific article where the above data comes from, I did find a wealth of other information on the unhealthiness of wildfire smoke. This article deals with the Cedar Fire around San Diego and is just as enlightening. Just be aware that the brush fires down there were less intense than a thick forest fire.

http://www.arb.ca.gov/qaweb/ertoutside/socalfires/data/re ...

I have a very personal link to the more recent fires around San Diego. Although my Uncle's house survived the fires, he did not last more than 2 months after the smoke pushed his previously hidden cancer over the brink.

Maybe one of your family memebrs will be next when wildfires rage?

On a side note: The California Air-Resources Board severely limits the amount of prescribed fires the Forest Service can set. The windows for performing this work are getting smaller all the time.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

I say

Recycle it.  Go in there and clean up everything a fire would burn.  Biodigest the biomass that isn't suitable for building mateials or paper making.  Machines that go anywhere in the woods with minimal damage and harvest logs and chips are available.

Think about it, seeds are encased in fruit for a reason.  So animals will leave  them on the ground with some fertilizer around them.  Tree seedlings ouight to be planted right in their own organic fertilizer blob, made from recycled forest material that has been biodigested.

The healthy trees that survive could benefit from blobs of organic soil amenment injected around their roots too.

These forestry jobs, working comfortably from the cab of safe machinery, are good ones.  That will produce really valuable products.  All while saving forests and cutting back on GHG from fire.

And renewable energy will come from the biogas from digested forest biomass.  Clean kwh to backup the renewable grid.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Can't take the heat...

Although my Uncle's house survived the fires, he did not last more than 2 months after the smoke pushed his previously hidden cancer over the brink.

Well, I imagine livin' with California's polluted air probably didn't do his lungs much good in the first place.  Still sorry for your loss.

And yes, wildfires can be hazardous to people and to some extent animals as weel.  But the fires also help to rejuvinate the ecosystem and increase the carryin' capacity of most species as a whole.

Obviously, people should try and avoid wildfires whenever they sprout up.  But it's just one of things you've gotta accept if ya live in a fire zone.  Just like earthquakes or tornadoes or hurricanes or any other form of natural "disaster".  If ya don't like it, or worry ya can't survive it, then it's best not to live in an area that's historically prone to it.


And if pigs could fly...

we'd have great fertilizer everywhere.

I've presented tons of good reasons why we need to actively manage ALL of our forests. The West is a fire zone, from Mount Rushmore to the Golden Gate. We can't move people out of the forest and into cities, although the Sierra Club is intent on burning those people out, pioneer-style. DrX claims that the Forest Service just wants to clearcut all the old growth and he fling misinformation like monkey pooh. (I haven't installed a clearcut since 1989, and that was a patch of bug-kill.) His plans for the forest aren't too bad except he offers no way to pay the BILLIONS of dollars needed to treat the fuels. Ditto for Pangolin, as he buys into the rhetoric that fires alone can do the job, ala the Sierra Club again. Economics HAVE to play a key role in restoring our forests back to pre-European health, form and function.

People, we've reached the "tipping point" in our forests and these "deniers" care more about sticking it to the (lumber) MAN, the (Freddy) MAN and the (woods) MAN. Forest ecosystems take centuries to return, and forest management deniers are quite willing to sacrifice them to stick it to the MAN.

BTW, there's a lawsuit that wants to eliminate the use of fire retardant, as well. They say it kills fish but it is mostly fertilizer and water. Those kinds of people won't be happy until all people are removed from the forest, one way or another.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

backcut --

There's plenty of money in the military (1 trillion) , tax cuts to the wealthiest (hundreds of billions), and loopholes to big corporations(hundreds of billions).  But most people think, "no, we can't" on those.

and I normally don't get so morose...

...but the North American forests are sometimes used as an example of the improvement of the situation of forests worldwide, because apparently the number of trees has actually increased.  Compared to the amazon, borneo, etc., the north american forests are thriving -- especially compared to the miserable state of the world's oceans.  Then there's the rangelands in northwest china that are creating global sized sandstorms...that's enough for now, but to return to your original gripe that people are overfocused on climate change, yes, ecosystems the world over are in big trouble, and even if global warming were solved tomorrow we'd be in a critical situation because we're headed for Desert Earth.  end of rant.

Fertilizer KILLS fish...

They say it kills fish but it is mostly fertilizer and water.

Uh, Backcut, fertilizer DOES KILL fish...that IS why this flame retardant is so dangerous.  Why else do ya think we're all so worried 'bout agricultural runoff?  Ever hear of the "dead zone" in the Gulf of Mexico that appears at the mouth of the Mississippi River ever year?  It's caused mostly by agricultural fertilizers.

Relative amounts

The amounts of phosphorous and nitrogen are used solely as a wetting agent, so that the water will penetrate the fuels. With that happening, it stays put or becomes vaporized. It appears that the Forest Service hasn't analyzed and documented fire retardant's effects on fish. I just hope the "no action" alternative gets full national exposure....heh heh.....AKA Let-Burn

Yep, eco's are for it and Bush is for it....UNITED in destroying our forests!

(sorry....couldn't resist!)  smirk

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

backcut --

at the risk of creating a firestorm (yuk,yuk, little forestry debate joke there!), I noticed an article on counterpunch, called "Myths of forest health", by an allegedly eminent forest ecologist.  He seems to have maximum distrust  of any form of logging, and I don't know if clearing fuel is the same thing as logging, or can be interpreted as logging, since maybe you have to take out small trees to clear fuel (?).  He seems to be on the side of the "the forest will take care of itself"  view that you detest, but he had some interesting scientific info.  anyway, fyi.

Myths of preservationism

While he is obviously NOT an "eminent ecologist", the same as I am not a papered "forest ecologist", I can refute and debunk everything he's saying, and then some. Notice he doesn't mention the overstocking and fire intensity issues. Notice he doesn't know about the precise, surgical style of logging that is common today. He obviously knows nothing about modern fuels reduction projects and how alternatives are selected (and rejected). There's a whole lot of "what-if's" and "might-be's" with his cherry-picking of studies based upon the old style of logging the biggest trees (which is no longer done).

If this guy was an actual "ecologist", he would be brazenly displaying where is certificate came from. Just because you've written a book, like Al Gore, that doesn't mean you know what you're talking about or make you a "scientist". Maybe I should write a book and call myself a "scientist", without a degree from a respected university, eh? My extensive woods experience in many different eco-types qualifies me to express my observations.

Now, I'm NOT saying that Forest Service doesn't abuse the NEPA system to cut trees that shouldn't be cut. There are still some dinosaurs out there who work hard to help their local sawmills stay in production and continue to employ the local workforce. The proper cutting prescription still has to match the stand conditions.

Go ahead and fight against corruption but don't doom our forests to destruction by saying that high-intensity fire is a "good thing", all you eco-MarthaStewarts....LOL.

No matter what I say, the green anarchists will tell you any lie you want to hear in their quest to stick it to the MAN and take your generously ignorant monetary donations. A friendly eco-lawyer will gladly sue (for profit!) to preserve the fuels and perfect bark beetle habitat for your next catastrophic fires.

The results are always the same. Death and forest destruction. Consensus with the Bush Administration, which will allow increased harvesting of big trees through salvage logging. YES, you are now a big part of the "Bush Machine", imposing a new management scheme on our forests without that pesky "public input".

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Thanks for taking a look...

...and I'm not familiar with forestry policies, so this is all educational for me (and I hope for others).  If there's something I can't stand, it's clearcutting forests -- and I assume a lot of other people feel that way, so they/we are understandably jumpy about cutting down trees.  I assume that there are still logging companies clearcutting or otherwise destroying forests.  So I think we have to make it clear that there is a difference between actions that destroy forests, and policies that are honestly intended to save forests.

Fun fact

California National Forests have banned clearcutting since 1993. At times, it can be appropriate to clear out a 2-5 acre patch of brush, snags and crappy trees left by the last loggers. These are replanted promptly. Those same forests have banned the cutting of trees over 30" in diameter, since 1993. All of this was done voluntarily by the Forest Service to keep the California Spotted Owl from becoming a listed species.

While I am not a fan of diameter limits, I do appreciate the value of big trees, structure, form and function. Tree farms don't cut it for me. Quality sustainable scientific economical forestry is here but, no one seems to be ready for it.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Glad to hear it...

...my first environmental "ephiphany" as a kid was seeing movies of logging of Cascades forests, I hope forest destruction stops, and forest reconstruction begins.  By the way, a friend and I are using the term "economic reconstruction", I think the word "reconstruction" may be valuable across many fields.

Logging versus forestry

It should be changed so that forestry incorporates some logging as only one part of harvesting dead and fire vulnerable biomass for total recycling.

Now the logging industry runs forestry through their surrogates in government.  We have seen the disastrous results.

As a result environmentalists try to block any access to as much forest as is left by these tree "farming" corporations.  

A new CCC would put it right again, put the forestors back in forestry leadership roles.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Sustainable forestry and economics...

Have to agree with DrX (is he a real doctor?) and Jon that forestry should be taken over by the various levels of government. As Jon said
I've actually never understood why private companies should be logging; forests belong to the people as far as I am concerned, government companies would be easier to control than private ones.  I mean, most oil is now controlled by national companies, why are any natural resources controlled by private companies?

My reasoning is the exponential nature of economic growth. That is, say a logging company needs to grow its profits (to satisfy shareholders and repay loans) by 7%. Then it must double its cut every 70/7= 10 years. Soon there will no forests left. This model is not sustainable for communities, forest workers or companies.

So as we move from the era of high-growth/abundant natural resources to the era of sustainable economics (net steady-state)/peak resources, we will need to manage the economy is a much more proactive way. We will need to direct private capital into the areas of the economy that we want to grow most (eg, renewables).  

The government-sector will have to expand into those areas of the economy that depend on the exponential growth and use of resources, like forestry. Preferably the government would work  as locally as possible and encourage cooperatives to manage these (non- and low- profitable) areas of the economy. (Accountability structures would have to evolve to prevent corruption, of course. Really we need new models of non-alienating government and participatory economics.)

The countries that best manage their economies by directing private capital and developing industrial policy will do best as we move through peak energy. Currently it seems that our public policies (energy, industrial, health, trade, etc.)are written by the corporations with the heaviest Washington presence. Sometimes literally.

We could include all mining...

...in the government-controlled/non-profit sector as well -- actually, we should be recycling first anyway and using what materials we have more efficiently (e.g., Gar Lipow's book).  Grazing lands could be added to the list too...and fisheries, but of course! (including lakes and rivers?)...although there is the bizarre situation where hunters and fishermen are important forces pushing for sustainability...then, there's wetlands too.  A good chunk of the country should really be very difficult or highly regulated to develop, and when Peak Oil hits, most of the population will have trouble getting out "there" anyway, me thinks.

Yep Colin

Forestors are real scientists.  Let them lead the CCC troops to healthy forests that produce clean energy and organic fertilizer, as well as restore their carbon sink role.  The forest products made from wood that poses a fire hazard saves other healthier non-drought damaged trees.

Only a dr of divinty so far (like dr Hunter Thompson), but I'm working on it.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

I agree

with DrX that we should utilize the public workforce whenever we get the chance to. It would be money well spent and would go very far to rebuilding some trust in the Agency. There is plenty of labor-intensive work to do out there (and maybe the timber industry could fund some of it, since they profited from the logging of it?).

When I worked on a Bitterroot National Forest thinning project, we marked a ton of trees in an overcrowded patch of mostly pine. The same stands were sampled by students and, when they began, they awere appalled by the "sea of blue" marked trees. As they set up plots that randomly sampled the "cut trees" and the "leave trees", they realized that there were quite a bit more trees left than they ever thought would be. We precisely met our goals of reducing the stocking levels back to a more natural level.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

United

Environmentalists and forestors, formerly and presently put at odds by industry lobbyists, could make this happen.  Recycle the fire prone biomass with a peacefull CCC army. Woulsdn't you rather see underemployed kids (your kids) fighting bark beetle infestation, than fighting for oil?

 Save the live trees and make them healthier.  This is a plan.  Maybe bring back some over 70 retired forestors who want to work on this.  They remember how the forest is supposed to be managed, and could guide the yong CCCers.

I bet they'd love to go back to work.  Just use modern, safer machinery.  Working in the woods, the way bottomline corporations run it now, is even more dangeous than working in a coal mine.  Yikes.

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

New fire pollution data

Estimates of greenhouse gas emissions from combustion by wildfire.

Greenhouse Gases (tons/acre)

Angora Fire: 46.2
Fountain Fire: 53.4
Star Fire: 76.7
Moonlight Fire: 74.7

Total Wildfire Greenhouse Gases (tons)

Angora Fire: 143,129.0
Fountain Fire: 3,196,172.2
Star Fire: 1,240,688.5
Moonlight Fire: 4,910,941.6

These figures come from a new analytical model that estimates GHG emissions from forest fires. These figures have NOT been corrected for additional GHG production from the rotting of biomass.

The thought that wildfires are good for our forests just isn't true in any way. When you people are ready to truly "save" our forests ....when you are progressive enough in your thinking ........when you understand all the sciences that go into "forestry" ....we'll be waiting to clean up the mess you've gotten us into during the last 20 years.

Hug them snags!!

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Story link

http://www.sacbee.com/101/story/778649.html

This slanted story at least comments on this startling work. Notice that the forest management deniers are already clawing at the messenger. How can someone buy a Prius AND embrace wildfires at the same time?

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

FLAME Act

Here's a recent letter from all the still-living Chiefs of the Forest Service on the need to continue "Caring for the Land". Of course, you folks don't "care" if the land burns. You embrace wildfire like it's "natural and beneficial" while denying that a problem even exists. Hopefully, Congress will act on this and attempt to restore the Forest Service and their Forests back to magnificence.

March 24, 2008

To the Honorable Nick J. Rahall II, Chairman, Committee on Natural Resources, U.S. House of Representatives

Dear Mr. Chairman

This letter expresses our support for HR 5541 - the Federal Land Assistance, Management and Enhancement Act (FLAME Act).

Last year we wrote to you of our concern about the way funding of fire suppression on the National Forests was handled in the Federal budget. We pointed out that it was putting the Forest Service in an untenable financial position. We urged you to find a way to finance emergency firefighting costs outside of the agency's discretionary budget. We believe the FLAME Act will accomplish this.

Unfortunately, since we wrote to you the situation continues to deteriorate. Proposed funding for fire suppression, reflecting the rising ten-year average cost, increases by $148 million in the FY2009 proposed budget. Fire funding is approaching 50 percent of the Forest Service budget. As a result, staffing for basic stewardship of the National Forests is well below that needed to protect and manage these valuable public lands. In the last six years, the available staff on the National Forest System has declined 35 percent. The number of resource specialists available for basic inventory and monitoring has declined 44 percent; the number of personnel to provide services to the 192 million annual recreation visitors have declined 28 percent, and the number biologists and technicians available to manage some of the most important fish and wildlife habitat in the nation has declined 39 percent. Loss of these essential personnel is intolerable. Our nation must find a way to fund the increasing costs of protecting these lands from fire without decimating the organization needed to protect and manage them for the American people.

Mr. Chairman, thank you for taking the initiative, along with Congressman Grijalva and Congressman Dicks, to separate the costs of emergency fire suppression from the discretionary budget of the Forest Service and the other land management agencies. We also appreciate the recognition by the Agriculture Committee of the need to solve the problem. If money is appropriated for the FLAME Fund, we believe this will create the opportunity to rebuild the capability of the Forest Service to protect and manage the resources of the National Forest System for the benefit of the American people. We urge enactment of HR5541 - the FLAME Act.

Sincerely,

signed:

R. Max Peterson, Chief, Forest Service 1979 - 1987
F. Dale Robertson, Chief, Forest Service 1987 - 1993
Jack Ward Thomas, Chief, Forest Service 1993 - 1996
Michael P. Dombeck. Chief, Forest Service 1997 - 2001
Dale N. Bosworth, Chief, Forest Service 2001 - 2007

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

Only a good idea...

...if by "fire suppression", they mean controlled burning to prevent the buildup of material.

Anythin' else would just make the situation worse in the long run by allowing an even greater buildup of material.

Fire differences

There are at least 3 different kinds of fire in our forests. Only one of them is good for our forests.

The first kind of fire is the wildfire that burns where it will, despite what firefighters may try to do.

The second kind is more accurately described as "prepared fire", which means that conditions are carefully controlled and fuels have already been removed, reduced or concentrated.

The third kind is the WFU fires that are allowed to burn, without ANY human interaction. All because a fire manager has decided for ALL of us that it needs to burn, despite a good chance it will grow into an uncontrollable fire like the first kind (see Biscuit Fire for the best example).

There is so little of the second kind being done these days, because of funding and eco-backlash. The other kinds of fire are increasing in both size AND intensity. However, some areas have no choice at this point. Once the millions of trees are already dead, there is very little choice, other than to watch it burn all that endangered species habitat, watersheds for drinking water, and all the other resource values of a healthy forest into GHG's going directly into our atmosphere. Around 50-80 tons per acre of GHG's, offsetting all your precious hybrid vehicles and CFL's.

Welcome to the New National Forest that only manages fires so that we'll never run out of fires.

Scenic pics at http://Lhfotoware.blogspot.com

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