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Greenland studySea-level rise could be double IPCC projectionsPosted by Joseph Romm (Guest Contributor) at 1:52 PM on 12 Feb 2008Last year, Nature Geoscience and Science (PDF) published major articles suggesting that the consensus projection for sea-level rise this century was far too low -- and could be as high as five feet. Now the Journal of Glaciology joins in with a remarkable analysis, "Intermittent thinning of Jakobshavn Isbræ, West Greenland, since the Little Ice Age" (PDF). The lead author, Beata Csatho from the University of Buffalo, explains implications of this work for the traditionally very simplified ice sheet models, such as those used by United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to make projections of sea-level rise: Ice sheet models usually don't include all the complexity of ice dynamics that can happen in nature. This research will give ice sheet modelers more precise, more detailed data.
For the record, five feet of sea-level rise would displace more than 100 million people worldwide -- the equivalent of 200 Hurricane Katrinas! This post was created for ClimateProgress.org, a project of the Center for American Progress Action Fund.
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