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Florida primary

Posted by David Roberts at 6:26 PM on 29 Jan 2008

CNN has projected McCain the winner. With 62% of precincts reporting, McCain is ahead of Romney 36% to 32%, with Giuliani's presidential aspirations going up in smoke, or rather, going up in a 15% debacle. More later.

UPDATE: Final is 36-31. It's a Romney/McCain race and McCain is the prohibitive favorite. He's now the yardstick against which to measure a Dem candidate.

UPDATE: Giuliani's going to drop out and endorse McCain. Yay war!

UPDATE: Ex-Grister Kate Sheppard is down in Florida covering the primaries. She says turnout for the non-delegate-producing, allegedly fake Florida Democratic primary "surpassed the turnout for any primary on record ever in the state, according to the Florida Democratic Party."

Lots of folks are upset over the cheesy spin Clinton's trying to put on her more-or-less uncontested primary win. Still, it does seem a little strange to completely disregard the votes of a million people in the most diverse state yet to host a primary.

Hold on a bit


   Florida is no more representative than New Hampshire or Iowa.

   McCain gets the Giuliani vote, but what does Huckabee do?  If he drops out, where do his voters go?  Will the go to McCain or to Romney?

   As the field narrows, we still haven't seen a unified "hard right".  

   Will McCain appear too moderate for them?  Or will Romney's Mormonism finally deter them.

   It may be over, or it may not.  I would wait a bit in both parties before declaring any victors.

   Clinton's vote is interesting too, the breakdown suggests that nothing is over.

   Certainly interesting times!!

patrick in Beijing

Obama Vs. Clinton


   My general inclination is to support any Democratic nominee, though of the top three, I prefer Edwards (for his talk about poverty, there are many issues I disagree with him on).

   Basically, the big two seem to be pretty similar on the issues to me, with things to like and dislike about both of them.

   But there is this.  I was just reading comments about the election on a number of blogs.

   When I read comments from Clinton supporters, they made me want to vote for Obama.

   When I read comments from Obama supporters, they made me want to vote for Clinton.

   Yech.

patrick in Beijing

Spin

Barack ran a load of teevee ads in Fla, by mistake supposedly.  Hillary can't just disregard her supporters.  Does this cancel the S. Carolina result?  Momentum wise.  I think it will help show she still has a chance.

Many media pundits had counted her out after Bill's supposed "racial" mistake.  And the Kennedy's switch to Barack, with pointed opposition by Teddy directly to Clinton anti-Barack talking points.  All but accusing Bill of playing on race.

Bill is like colbert, he doesn't see race, so he mentiones technical demographic campaign realities with no clue he might be vulnerable to reverse racism tactics.  Like the "fairytale" quote, taken out of context.  

This sound bite manufactured tabloid moment is trying to become Hillary's media self prophesied doom.  Bill better make like a nice rock star.  And just smile a lot.  Bring out the sax.  

http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog John Schneider, Northern Wisconsin

Edwards

I just heard that Edwards is out of the race. Too bad.

Wish that Romney would also bow out, but I hope that's just a matter of time.

Erik

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