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Should we keep rebutting skeptics?

Vote!

Posted by David Roberts at 1:31 PM on 04 May 2007

A little while back, CNN recruited a right-wing talk radio host named Glenn Beck to host one of its prime-time shows. As MediaMatters rather exhaustively reveals, Beck is an unreconstructed racist, sexist, classist, misogynist, authoritarian, xenophobic troglodyte of the old school. He doesn't work particularly hard to conceal his trogloditicism. In fact, one suspects CNN views the trogloditicism as the draw.

Beck's latest crusade is -- you guessed it -- global warming skepticism. He has a special running on CNN ("Exposed: The Climate of Fear") in which he compares the consensus on global warming to the early-20th-century consensus on eugenics. It features Patrick Michaels, Tim Ball, Chris Horner, Bjorn Lomborg, and all the other usual suspects.

I have a question for you Gristmill readers:

Do you think I/we should take on this stuff whenever it pops up? Should Gristmill produce a point-by-point refutation every time these same discredited spokesmen and arguments are trotted out? Is there any payoff in it? I could just keep posting links to the Skeptic Guide, but that's not quite as effective as a targeted rebuttal.

I guess it would be a public service, but I also wonder whether giving this stuff attention just plays into its hands. Is anyone who tunes into Beck's show, sees the same handful of cranks, hears the same zombie falsehoods, and is convinced, realistically going to end up at Gristmill looking for counter-arguments anyway?

To spend the time, or not spend the time, that is the question. How would you answer?

Poll
Should Gristmill produce rebuttals for each new climate skeptic attack?

Yes, you must keep pounding on the truth every time the lies pop up.
No, most reasonable people accept climate change anyway, and it's not worth the time.

Votes: 277
Results

Sceptics schmeptics.

I think it's mostly time to move on, except for when a particularly egregious example turns up such as the Swindle swindle. The biggest threat to a realistic public understanding of the issues now is not the deniers but the the carpetbaggers with the phony fixes. Outfits like Planktos, for example. Let's save the energy for them: you can bet your boots there's plenty more dangerous nonsense coming down the pike.

The true meaning of life is to plant trees, under whose shade you do not expect to sit.
Like debating creationism

What you don't want to do is elevate the nonsense by making it appear that you are engaging it.  So where they spout the same-old-stuff, posting a simple pointer to the appropriate link(s) in the Skeptic's Guide is appropriate.

On the other hand, it's always good to keep an ear open for new lines of argument, and then that has to be addressed to show why it's bunk.  (The recent disinfomeme about Mars is the kind of thing I'm thinking here.)

The skeptics are losing the war, so they are not going to just sit there and repeat the nonsense that isn't working--sure, they'll fill in with that (after all, they've got hours of TV time to fill and paid speaking gigs to pander for, so they'll never quit using the chesnuts), but they will also continually test new lines of argument on shows like that, because they know they'll be treated gently and not hooted off the stage.  For them, Glenn Beck's show is Peoria--they'll try it out in Peoria before trying to get to New York with it.

The much more difficult question is whether reputable non-denialist scientists should appear on such shows.  I don't know the answer to that.

The 5% Project

Why not try this?

Public scepticism in the mass media probably needs to be addressed, but not in great detail, just enough to get the point across.

For the more insidious type of scepticism which bedevils blogs everywhere, can I suggest this:
http://fergusbrown.wordpress.com/2007/04/25/
shades-of-scepticism/#comment-52

I am in the process of preparing a ready-made potato-print image to cut out and keep, so that silliness can be addressed with a simple reply, involving the image; no effort wasted.

You could always ask Mr Beck why he feels compelled to mislead and deceive, and whether he is morally comfortable with the notion that such deceit may soon amount to culpable homicide?

Or maybe that's too harsh...

Turned out nice again...

I'd say yes

Primarily because Grist maintains one of the most readable directories of climate science in your "How to talk to a skeptic" section.

And "those in the know" might know full well about these skeptics, it's crucially important that the misrepresentation of the facts by these skeptics be distributed to a larger audience.

And how you translate that information from technobabble into laymens is amazingly valuable.

-David Ahlport

I voted BUT the i read...

and I see I made a mistake.

>> carpetbaggers with the phony fixes. Outfits like Planktos >>

A perfect example of a denier, WITH NO KNOWLEDGE, is sprouting DANGEROUS BS

The only way to save the planet; and yet many people including REALCLIMATE, IPCC and others are allowed to show their infectious lack of understanding.

In science such debates go on ... scientists have decades / millennia to argue

This Earth has /had no time to waste in petty ego arguments.   I am appalled that THE most important project ... yes it was proposed long ago ... a project that NOW has a willing implementer, is/maybe being derailed.

THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE EARTH !

Speak loud and clear, the denniers will get a hearing and be debunked .... hopefully before the trumpets blow.

But because the world is mainly populated by idiots, yes idiots
such denniers gain a great MASS of following, and y'all love democracy !!!!!  LOL (idiotic)

"The Death of Clouds"
omegafour.com

Ignore em'

Methinks the vast majority of people can tell that Glen Beck is so outrageous that they shouldn't take his climate skepticism or other provacative views seriously. Ignore the man.

Refutation

> Should Gristmill produce a point-by-point
> refutation every time these same discredited
> spokesmen and arguments are trotted out? Is there > any payoff in it?

No--you don't have the expertise for it. Gristmill has demonstrated a noted lack of scientific expertise over the years -- your writers just do not have the chops to take on the big boys. Hence your ideological approach. Best to leave this to the professionals (RealClimate), and meekly link to them.


Yes, if you actually rebutted any of us


I don't really see that you've rebutted anything so far.

I have an argument for almost anything in your skeptics guide, and many of my arguments have no response for weeks.

The "Skeptics Guide" is looking more like a battle plan for challenging the Crypto-Malthusian cult.

What is more, "Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every 1500 Years" is like the Boy Scouts Handbook for trying to curtail the cultists who want to use AGW as a way to bilk the public of tax funds.

Do you hear something?

I have an argument for almost anything in your skeptics guide, and many of my arguments have no response for weeks.

I think this is more of a function of people simply ignoring you and not due to a lack of arguments.

One strategy

  1. Keep in mind your long-term goals. Does this particular occasion advance your goals?
  2. There's no automatic need to rebut skeptics.
  3. Occasionally, it may be worthwhile to put out the arguments, more for the sake of the audience rather than with any hope of changing the mind of the skeptic.
  4. Usually it's better to spend one's effort on allies and people with whom one shares most values.
  5. Ignore trolls.


Bart
Energy Bulletin
Fewer than you think

So why are there so many deniers on environmental blogs?  Doesn't this seem a bit counter intuitive?  I'm not interested in punk rock, and so you wont catch me on a punk rock site.  

These deniers, who appear in Grist and other blogs EVERYDAY multiple times throughout the day are being paid to be there.  Their employers hope that their regular appearances will give the impression that the actual world population views of the realities of global warming with a skeptical eye.

Engage them and refute them because the corporate greed that they represent wont go away.  This is the only way to maintain a true picture of what the worldview is.  

If I were a religious man, I'd be sure that there was a special place in hell reserved for these bastards.

Cheers, Gary Gifford

Why accomodate the shills' goals ?

I'd agree that shills cost only petty cash to the oil & coal lobbies
to infest any and every environment & peak oil blog they can find.

Given that their attempt is to delay action on GW as long as possible,
there is a direct and now fully informed complicity in a potentially unprecedented scale of genocide.

Their aim is not to convince people,
but merely to hold the debate on the reality & significance of GW,
thus precluding discussion by the undecided of just how oil & coal usage can best be constrained.

Rebutting such trash neatly fulfills their goals, for there is always a denial or a new critique in response.

Utterly ignoring them in favour of discussion of the mitigation of GW neatly blocks their goals.

Personally I'd not only ignore them, I'd remove posting privileges from anyone pushing denial three times on the site.
Why waste energy on them ?

Regards,

Billhook

Crypto-Maltusians Reveal Fascist Intent

Personally I'd not only ignore them, I'd remove posting privileges from anyone pushing denial three times on the site.
 Why waste energy on them ?

Yes, I'm sure you'd like to put skeptics in jail and gas them as well...but we can't let you do that, Mein Herr.

Deniers Getting Mimimum Wage

These deniers, who appear in Grist and other blogs EVERYDAY multiple times throughout the day are being paid to be there.  

LOL!

Is that why I live in a 1-bedroom apartment in Kent East Hill, Washington State while Al Gore flies around in Lear Jets and Sheryl Crow trails five tour buses farting sulfur everywhere she goes?

I'm Coming Out!

You know, at first, I termed myself a Naturo-Genic Global Warmer -- thinking that yes, it was getting hotter, but it was probably sun cycles.

Now I feel more confident...more me

So, I'm leaving the Closet behind.

I am a denier.

I deny Global Warming in all its manifestations.

I am a skeptic.

And I will now argue from that standpoint.

Purely.

See you at Studio 54...

On second thought, I have to agree

You are a wise man.  We may have better luck just ignoring the deniers as we would trolls.

Its funny.  Since Jaballo has no conscience and simply does this for money, he could be a paid blogger under different names for a whole host of causes.

Denier of the link between tobacco and lung cancer, paid blogger for Hillary Clinton and John McCain at the same time, NAMBLA supporter, the list goes on and on.

Cheers, Gary Gifford

Well, I guess I should rephrase

Let other blogs and such do the science.

Grist however is rather good for providing some context and framing for the general public who might not be viewing climate blogs every day.

Every skeptic? No.

But every major climate skeptic making a bit media appearance, Yes.

-David Ahlport

bit = big



-David Ahlport
Use skeptics to tell our story.

David,

This is an excellent question that nicely illustrates why US environmentalists must discard the approach, tone and role we adopted over the last couple of decades if we are to have any hope of affecting the outcome on climate.

As I have noted in other posts, and you summed up nicely in a post on Huffington's site (link), the important question to ask in communications - and how we respond to skeptics is purely a problem of communications  - is to ask what response best tells our story?

For the two decades, our story was that climate change is real. We won the point, a decade too late, but the overwhelming majority of Americans now accept reality.

We ought now to be telling the story of abrupt climate change and mobilizing the relatively small numbers of existentialist-minded leaders (many of whom are not environmentalists) who are prepared to take forceful and single-minded action. From this perspective, any time spent in rebutting skeptics is utterly wasted. Our important audiences could care less.

However, by taking a few simple, cheap and determined actions we have an excellent opportunity to reinforce our story. We won't do so, however, until we rid ourselves of two persistent and pernicious beliefs: that environmentalists are responsible for solving climate change and that our principle audience is the general public. These two, deeply ingrained assumptions channel our work, our politics and our response to our adversaries and enemies in ways that reduce our political power (and inflate the influence of skeptics).

If we refocus on mobilizing a bloc of determined climate action political leaders, then we should take action toward skeptics that matches the anger of these folks and is invigorating. This can be done by stepping outside the box of civic niceties and "balanced" debate, which no longer apply (did anyone bother to respond to pacifists after Hilter invaded Poland?).

Here's three easy ways this could be done.

  1. NRDC, ED, UCS and the Sierra Club refuse to appear in any media broadcast with skeptics.
  2. Grist should institute a policy similar to Craig's List where posts from "skeptics" are flagged by readers and removed.
  3. The Green Groups release a white paper that endorses the precautionary, climate-science-proposed standard of global action, or "bright line," defined by Jim Hansen and hammer away at the terrible story of ice sheet break-up and civilization-busting sea level rise.

But won't be charged with censorship and uncivil behavior? Sure, and that would be great because if would give us another opportunity to say that the world as we know it is about to come to end and we don't have time to screw around with niceties. Our most important audiences will appreciate that we are finally matching our words with action.


Ken Ward ken[at]brightlines.org
If you spend all your time...

...tracking down every complete nutter like Glenn Berk, you won't have any time to spare to keep us up to date on what really matters. Look at it this way, as has already been mentioned: anyone who regularly watches shows like that and actually kind of believes them is not going to come onto Gristmill looking for evidence. If they are actually interested in the subject, then most of the main points are covered in the 'How to talk to a sceptic' guide. Obviously, you should keep your eye out in case anything new pops up, in which case you will probably have spotted it before from another source anyway.

Of course, it's catch-22, as engaging people in intelligent conversation gives them a feeling of importance (the same probably goes for some trolls I could mention), plus the simple fact that if people see something mentioned a lot in print, they will have more respect for it. On the other hand, not refuting them gives the impression that you have nothing to say. With most of these fools though, probably the majority of us in the public can pass the truth on to those around. Keep the firepower for what deserves it, or for anything that's in the grey area.

It might be an idea, though, occasionally to track down one of these shows, and totally annihilate it in an article, just to give us a feeling of satisfaction, and to make others think twice.

On the whole, though, these are just better-known trolls we're dealing with. And ignoring is the best policy.

If I share initials with 'Global Warming', is that a sign?

Oh, Hell, yes!

Hey, all:

Well, yes of course we have to continue.  This is a crucial moment in human history, and will determine which of two paths we take.  

If some of us get tired or have to move on to other things, others can fill in.  View it as a tag team.  

I hope hope hope the Dems don't self-destruct (again) in '08, and we have a much more receptive progressive audience and administration.  If so, things will improve.  

If we don't continue to fight, Hell is much too good for all of us.

David
Sustainability For Life

Messages done with sustainable energy, with Wind and Sun!

Push them off the air

Skeptics are given an opportunity to express themselves in mainstream media (MSM) because the MSM has been beaten up for decades as being too liberal.  Their reaction to this criticism is to provide "balance" of skeptic vs. mainstream scientist.  Any reporter covering the issue knows that they're misrepresenting the scientific understanding of climate change, but they feel pressured by conservative media activists to present the issue in this way.

I think the only way to restore real "balance" to news coverage of climate change (i.e. debating solutions, not the science) is to pressure the MSM to report science accurately.  Pressure the advertisers that run ads during Glenn Beck's show.  Jam the phone lines of CNN executives.  Take notes from the recent downfall of Imus as a road map on how to get trash off the airwaves.

Give them a dungeon...

I hate to advocate this but I must say it's effective on other sites where issues like israel/palestine, pro/anti-choice and guns end up on endless futile-cycle threads.

Get an alert button and send unoriginal sceptical posts to the sceptics dungeon um er corner with a link back to the original thread. Sort of like a hate mail bag.

You could even keep count like 22 comments, 4 skeptics corner with a little link for folks to follow if the sceptics start to rack up.

I don't like sites that ban unneccesarily but sending those internet tourette's post off to their own corner seems fair.

Put the Carbon Back

Debating Skeptics

The temptation is mighty strong to respond to these
people, but i'm struggling to adopt a new policy, pointed out by a anti-nuclear activist quoted in a local newspaper.  It goes something like this:

  "Never argue with idiots.  They'll just drag you down to their level and beat you on experience alone."

Hello idiots, imbeciles and half-wits

I bring joy and happiness to the global warming religion and his esteemed holiness, Pope Gore.  I presume since Gristers are so convinced that manmade carbon dioxide emissions will result in the death of the planet, that you are all vigorously campaigning to remove barriers and streamline permitting of new, zero-emisson nuclear power plants.  Nay you say?  Pray tell then, if not coal or nuclear, from what resource will our future (affordable) baseload electric power be derived?

Seriously now, there is STRONG evidence that CO2 emissions are NOT driving global warming.  Consider the following from a former researcher working on climate change ...

http://backseatdriving.blogspot.com/2007/04/climate-skept ...

If you have half a brain, you will consider what David has to say.  The debate is NOT over, the evidence is NOT conclusive, and as David points out, "The integrity of the scientific community will win out in the end, following the evidence wherever it leads."

And finally, one more link to counter what you've been reading on the Socialist web site (mediamatters), here's a bit of analysis from one of your so-called deniers, Tim Ball ...

http://newsbusters.org/node/12174

Is it so impossible for you to believe that government-funded scientists might tweak the facts just a bit to keep the big bucks rollin' in?

Geez, get a clue about money and politics?

Sincerely,
Ralph Hansen, Ph. D.

- When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? -- John Maynard Keynes

Backseat Link

>> There weren't any other credible suspects for causing global warming  >>

Yes there is, CO2 is not a problem

>> => Fewer low clouds are formed

=> Earth heats up. >>>

Yes this is correct.

Cosmic rays ! well that is stretching credibility, no point introducing further complications without evidence.... just not good science.

LOL

so we are left with FEWER CLOUDS, especially low clouds ... high level ice clouds are increasing

Well, well,  what do you think from this ?

Earth's hydrology cycle is in REAL TROUBLE

Wonder why ?, could it be
that the oil on the sea inhibits water evaporation.

D'oh.  Now ask why the rest of the scientific world is so ignorant ?  An answer must be obtained, these people hold our fate in their hands.

WHY ???

omegafour.com

Don't you dare make me accept the facts

Let me remind folks here that some 40% of Americans still believe Saddam Hussein was behind 9-11.  Never mind how thoroughly that perspective has been discredited.  Never mind that no credible intelligence source supports that idea.  Never mind that even the Bush Administration grudgingly acknowledged (eventually) that there was no substantial link between the two.  

Lesson: if a lie is repeated often enough by people in 'authority' positions, and if that lie helps to confirm people's confortable and pre-conceived worldview, then you'll have one hell of a time ever dislodging that lie from a large part of the public consciousness.

The only real solution may be to wait for the older, stuck-in-their-old-mindset, don't-dare-do-anything-that-may-affect-the-cost-of-my-gasoline generation to gradually die off.  Unfortunately, with global warming already upon us, we can't afford to wait that long.  

So, I vote that you keep rebutting the most absurd of the skeptics -- somebody has to.  But don't obsess over trying to rebut everything.  Like the debate over evolution or Saddam and 9-11, we need to avoid giving the flat-earthers a forum that implies equal credibility for their arguments.  

I don't see our schools giving equal opportunity for those who oppose the 'theory' we live in a heliocentric solar system (i.e., that the earth revolves around the sun, not the other way around.)  There's a good reason for that.  Science and common sense finally won out on that issue.  As it will on global warming, sooner or later.

I'm going to go for rebuttal with a twist.

Don't do straigt-forward fact based rebuttal. Make every rebuttal an opportunity to mock and marginalize denialists.

Also use low labor means that give denialists minimal respect. Do your rebuttals via quotes from "talking to skeptics" sites. Also, before going to real climate or Becks "How to talk to a climate skeptic", why not start with Tim Lambert's Global Warming Skeptic Bingo. For example, Cockburn's latest diatribe could have been rebutted entire from  that Bingo game. If someone actually makes a point not included on the Bingo card, than move on to Beck and Real Climate. But don't treat this is a serious debate. Treat them like chew toys; show them no respect.

Why it's necessary to debate

Brace yourself, this is unpleasant:

http://motls.blogspot.com/2007/04/larry-king-richard-lind ...

Someone unqualified was put up against Dick Lindzen, and simply didn't fare well. It's necessary to show up at the high-profile events.

This (and the associated commentary) convinced me that you can't just let these events be handled by amateurs.

It's also necessary to frame the terms of the debate, and not simply be responding. In order for us to come out of this situation reasonably well, we want the world not too disrupted, and democracy intact. If that is going to happen, democracy has to get better at understanding what is going on.

This means not just denying the denialists but actually effectively drawing the big picture. More  well-informed people need to get good at this.

As for "Swindle" type episodes, I agree.

Point briefly to chapter and verse. Allegation a, rebuttal A, Allegation B, rebuttal B. Please don't stop there, though. Lead in with some description of the big picture untainted by the denialist frame, and close likewise.

The audience must get the idea that all these ideas have been trotted out for a long time, that most of them are totally without substance and the rest are dubious, that it isn't bias or closed-mindedness to assert that the truith lies elsewhere. That's not enough though.

It's even more important that the audience does get a reasonably clear idea of where the truth does lie. Every communication which involves these people directly or indirectly should, I think, debunk the lies in a sandwich of asserting the truth.


mt

Weenies

Grist: you are all a bunch of scientific weenies. Do any of you have any scientific training at all?? You all seem to have gone to Williams College and majored in history--there is very little reasoned content here, and mostly just ideology. You have probably been protesting since you were eight years old, protesting against what you were told to protest against.

Try thinking for yourselves sometime.

None of you ignorant twits can rebut me!

Do any posters here know Maurice Strong?  Have you even heard of him?  The man has made a living at the United Nations by showing the lesser economies on the planet how political manipulation can suck wealth out of the U.S. economy.  The Kyoto Protocol has very little to do with saving the planet.  It's all about transferring wealth from the U.S. and other developing countries to the Third World.  Have you considered what carbon constraints will do to the Goliath that is the United States economy?  The U.S. is the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases, but it is also by far the largest economy.  And we use energy FOUR times more efficiently than the Chinese.

That's news to the Gristmill geniuses, no doubt.  But now for the big rant!

What facts should make me believe increasing CO2 concentrations produced by humans are heating the planet, particularly at a magnitude likely to cause global catastrophe?  Please explain why the minor warming we've experienced in the past century isn't attributable to land use changes (the heat island effects of urbanization, deforestation, increased surface albedo caused by our greening of the landscape), surface or underwater volcanic activity, or an increase in solar intensity. How might the mitigating effects of plant life, clouds, precipitation and the oceans offset the warming effects of the .038% concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide?  

Please explain why you trust a climate panel, under the auspices of the United Nations, when it proclaims it is more than 90% certain human emissions of greenhouse gases are responsible for recent warming.  Isn't it possible that the combination of political pressure and the desire of IPCC scientists to keep the money flowing might have corrupted the process?  Please explain why it's not possible for politics to trump science.

If "global warming" is changing the climate, why should we presume that it is bad?  Are milder winters, lower energy bills and longer growing seasons undesirable?  Because plants use CO2 like we use oxygen, shouldn't they grow better and absorb more CO2 if concentrations are higher?  If most of the warming occurs at higher latitudes, shouldn't we see less-intense storms because there is less difference in the temperature of the colliding air masses that cause them?  Why should we expect droughts? If the world is warmer, shouldn't it also be wetter because there will be more evaporation?

Those promoting the global warming theory blame it primarily on human combustion of fossil fuels, but it's also agreed this is a global issue.  How do you propose this issue be "solved" without unduly harming the ability of developing countries to lift their citizenry from the depths of chronic poverty?  Will these countries, most notably China and India, agree to cooperate with the international community in reducing their use of fossil fuels?  Considering that 80% of America's energy now comes from fossil fuels, what do you propose as a replacement?   How will imposing restrictions on the use of coal, America's cheapest and most abundant source of energy and the source of 50% of our electricity, affect our ability to break our dependence on foreign energy?  How will it affect America's competitiveness in a global marketplace, particularly if developing nations do not participate?  

What methods do you propose to calculate the cost/benefit ratio of global warming legislation?  How do you propose to monitor the effectiveness of climate change legislation in reducing global warming?  If we are convinced future planetary warming is already inevitable, why isn't it more sensible to invest in adapting to climate change, rather than spending billions on an emissions reduction plan that may have little, if any impact on the earth's climate?  Isn't it better to embrace the warming as insurance against the next ice age, which some climatologists suggest may arrive very soon?  

When you can satisfactorily answer these questions, you will then have the right to enact laws that significantly increase the price of energy, constrain the US economy and force Americans to lower their standard of living.

Rebut that, children! Or maybe you just want to concede now because you can't!  

You dweebs who blindly follow the treasonous likes of Al Gore and Barbara Boxer are pathetic.

Ralph Hansen, Ph. D.


- When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? -- John Maynard Keynes

Ralph's arguments

  1. It's all China's fault, they produce more CO2 than us despite using less than we do with nearly ten times the population only the size of economy really matters.
  2. Global warming isn't happening/isn't caused by CO2.
  3. Global warming will be more good than bad.
  4. Economic death and mayhem to solve the problem. Oh no! Okay, just because every credible economic report on the subject says that energy efficiency and global warming prevention will protect and improve the economy doesn't mean it actually will.

Do you guys come up with anything new? Then you just throw out arguments again and again. They aren't even logically consistent with each other.

Followed by calling everyone you oppose treasonous and assuming stupidity.

Finally, of course, the emphasis on PhD by someone who clearly doesn't understand either the greenhouse effect or the carbon cycle which I learned in elementary school. All the information you just rebutted is found in the Skeptic's Guide, or in the relevant articles in Science or Nature.

Maybe if you knew something about the topic you could come up with more logical skeptical arguments, like aliens using death rays to heat the atmosphere.

As for the topic at hand, if the skeptics are honest doubters, uninformed or have new arguments, treat them seriously and politely. If they call environmentalists names (commies, treasonous, etc.) and don't use facts or common sense then either ridicule or ignore them.

Deniers

Now to task against the deniers of the deniers,Have you folks thought about how oxy-moronic it sounds like? I challenge any scientist you folks choose or know on this forum  to task against me in the field of earth science,I have tier one capability and understand earth processes and galaxy processes and know of the anomaly we are experiencing,chapter and verse and know we are going to have the hell beat out of us and that it will abate in a few short years,but not without lots of damage .So task your science experts to task against me as I enjoy a good spat and will beat them severely about the head and shoulders for their foolishness in making everyone think we are experiencing the weather effects we are experiencing from a greenhouse process attributed to our carbon emissions.So please send them forth,I will bring them up to speed. Yup,I'm an arrogant son of a bitch,and I am cranky too,but accurate in how this universe and earth goes forth and just tired of the jackals depleting the economy and the proper science on the planet.

Earth Shaman
What a load !

>> Rebut that, children! >>>>

LOL, Both had better update your uninformed knowledge instead of becoming emotional.

Is Global Drought something to be concerned about ?  err that means NO RAINFALL, NO FOOD

Is a Snowball Earth something to be concerned about ? and that means you will be frozen solid

The effects of Carbon dioxide are puny compared to what a worldwide oil slick on the seas is doing.

You are correct it is all BS, so why waste time here.  I enjoy teaching so get informed then come back to discuss, unless you are a Big Oil TROLL, LOL.

If you really want to know then at least read the evidence, but I expect you are laypeople and will not understand what has been written.

omegafour.com

Got a link Zarkov?

Please provide at least ten links to peer reviewed journals equal in stature to Science, Nature, New Scientist or even a magazine that stays close to peer review.

I want to see articles that have abstracts and bibliographies and say "published in......."

You can't. You can't even get anybody to link to your little echo-chamber website. Hell it only gets 18 hits on Google and most of those are you linking back to yourself.

What you have is pseudo-science mumbo jumbo and a bad case of internet tourette's or possibly a grant from Exxon.

Put up or shut up.

Here's an annotated bibliography of over 1800 journal articles on Climate Change. That's my evidence.

Put the Carbon Back

"Earth Shaman" Links?

I challenge any scientist you folks choose or know on this forum  to task against me in the field of earth science,I have tier one capability and understand earth processes and galaxy processes

So put up or shut up. Declare your sources. Link to the university or research center of which you are accredited faculty.

Do you have any sources? Any?

When I googled "tier one capablility" I get speeches on the House of Commons and damn few of those. No scientific literature.

Put the Carbon Back

Pangolin

Do you have a scientist you would like to sacrifice or do you just want a link to corroborate the messengers qualifications.? I am an accredited faculty of an private institution of which I am sure you are not familiar.The notion that someone should task for the "Listed" universitys is something that folks are trained to by Phd's that have the process sewed up for their tier two and three ability.So,tiers are just levels of ability in each area of expertise.So,if you have any real questions,shoot,cuz I am just on a break and I waste some time on these forums just beating people up for fun.But at the same time,I can give anyone the information on the processes that I spoke to that are accurate,and I assure you accurate.Some of the source for my training came from off planet.And no,Im not just a kook,as you would quickly assume.There are some of us on the planet who are allowed information others are not allowed.But Im a snitch and dont appreciate the damage that the tier 2 and three guys are doing at this serious time of the 1050 periodicity anomaly that is beating this planet,and will for a few years yet.This global warming/CO2 garbage needs to have straight facts and this old mans intent is to save lives and save idiots from spending poor peoples money on the foolishness that is being forcefed to them.Folks will need all of their funds to keep themselves whole as this anomaly will get much worse.So send me a few scientists,Im hungry,LOL.

Earth Shaman
Shaman- nothing?

You've got nothing? Not even a single link to anything supporting your assertations? C'mon put up a crayon drawing like this http://www.venganza.org/.

Dude, you've got less documentation than the Flying Spaghetti Monster. Now that's sad.

I'm not a PhD but you don't have to be one to recognize a snow job when you see one. Your last post was pure snow.

Next.

Put the Carbon Back

Terminate

>>  I want to see articles that have abstracts and bibliographies and say "published in......." >>

This is the Internet... isn't NASA good enough ?

Well do some research in the local Uni library, its all there.

I take it you have not read my "echo chamber"

Take a look it is all laid out for you, I am sure you will find what you desperately seek, LOL.

But hey, you really aren't interested, just interested in throwing up.  I terminate this conversation.

omegafour.com

I defy you to respond to the questions!

Smooth tactics believers.  I've asked questions you can't answer, so you mock me and call me a denier.

I don't deny CO2 may be part of the reason we saw some minor warming in the late 20th century, but there is NO evidence whatsoever to suggest a further rise in its concentration will result in doom for the planet.

But go ahead and try to answer the questions.  If you can't answer them all, then shut up because you haven't studied the issue enough to offer your opinion to the world.

Ralph Hansen, Ph. D.

- When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? -- John Maynard Keynes

I think this answers your question

Dave-

This thread is a good reason why rebutting skeptics is not a particularly good idea.  It's too easy to get pulled into a ridiculous argument ("Oh yeah?  You show me a peer-reviewed publication that shows that." "How about the IPCC report?"  "That piece of trash?  It's from the UN!  That doesn't count."  etc.).  

This is, in fact, why arguing about science is such an effective technique for those who want to delay action on any policy.  So my position would be to rebut particularly interesting skeptical arguments, but ignore the run-of-the-mill arguments.

Regards

The Crazy World of Grist Ecologists

Andrew Dessler writes:

a ridiculous argument ("Oh yeah?  You show me a peer-reviewed publication that shows that."

Only a Grist Ecologist would define asking to see peer reviewed articles in the scientific press a ridiculous argument.

Grist Hoaxers prefer:


  • Their own web pages on MySpace
  • Hearsay
  • Grainy graphics that have been rescanned so many times you can't see the lines clearly



Don't Waste Your Keystrokes


Ralph Hansen, Ph. D.

What?

A PhD?

Don't expect respect from the Grist Ecologists.

It would be better if you were a European Art History Major who wrangled a free seat on the IPCC...or else a surfer punk with a chip on his shoulder.

'I knew PhDs, and you are no PhD.'

Hey, all:

For "Ralph" and "Earth Shaman":

Paraphrasing Lloyd Bentsen, and with apologies to his memory, I have never heard people denying the reality of anthropogenic climate change, supposedly with PhDs, talking, acting, and writing like they are in fact only semi-literate bench warmers on a second string middle school football team.  

You discredit you own positions and your supposed level of achievement.  Look in a mirror. Use some of ExxonMobil's money for manners classes.  Grow up.

David
Sustainability For Life

Messages done with sustainable energy, with Wind and Sun!  

MA Tested, PhD Approved!

Any Crypto-Malthusian who hopes to post in Grist needs to read this (Phd written) Book (which is now higher on the NYT Best Sellers list than Al Gore's book:

Unstoppable Global Warming -- Every 1500 Years!


Nice selective quote

Jabailo-

I like how you ignore the response to your request for peer-reviewed literature, which is "read the IPCC."  If you read it, you'll see that all of your comments have already been addressed by the scientific community.  

Regards

no

There is no point. I am still waiting for the first so called skeptic to say something that will impress me. It's types such as above here posting this rubbish that makes it so easy to make up my mind. Ignore the deniers unless they make a new point.

That's rare by the way, though I was amused by the recent global warming in the solar system claims.

By the way, this blog at the Houston Chronicle could use some realistic and science based commenters to balance the nutcases hanging out...

http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2007/04/uhoh_what_ ...

Already Responded To


you ignore the response to your request for peer-reviewed literature

As documented in Grist, I read both papers and responded in the skeptics forum and elsewhere.

To repeat, I found them lacking.

It's Not My Jhab


I am still waiting for the first so called skeptic to say something that will impress me.

It's not our job to "impress" you.

Remember, you Crypto-Malthusians are the ones presenting a case for something.  It is you who must impress the world.  

So far, the world yawns, and shrugs its shoulders.

"found them lacking"

Can you tell me what part of the scientific community's analysis looks flawed to you?  A page number or equation number would greatly help me understand where you're having trouble ...

Re: Jabailo

Heh, S. Fred Singer is a joke.

http://www.desmogblog.com/node/1478

-David Ahlport

One whole book? Just one?

jabailo- the gist of your argument amounts to one book written by a, presumably biased, author vs. over 1800 published, peer-reviewed journal articles scrutinized in detail and en-masse by what is probably the largest, most thorough gathering of science since Isaac Newton toddled down to London to explain how gravity worked.

Your whole argument; one book by an Exxon funded denier.

Well you should be congratulated on having a source. The average Global Warming denier on this board and on the net reads like a schizophrenic bailed out of a mental institution and given a computer, a free pizza pass and an endless supply of Mountain Dew.

I have libraries of science fiction more believable than that claptrap. Hell some science fiction authors even started their own cults and you refer to a single book? I am staggered by the weight of your argument.

I'm really starting to think that Global Warming denial on the net consists of think tanks of 18 year old Pakistanis given talking points and paid by the keystroke.


Put the Carbon Back

Heh,

Wish I could clip this video starting at the timemark 18:50
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=52278449904586781 ...

-David Ahlport
Here we go.

Forwarding link for the video
http://greyfalcon.net/denial

24:50 is a pretty good timemark as well.

-David Ahlport

A Book Like No Other.


the gist of your argument amounts to one book

"Unstoppable Global Warming" conveniently summarizes decades of research and tomes of papers.

Each paragraph is densely footnoted.

So, it's not just "one book".

Moles Outbreeding Whacks


The Crypto-Malthusians speak of Whack-A-Mole when referring to rebutting skeptics.

Funny, but as each day passes, the mole population seems to be overwhelming the CMs.

Guess the truth cannot be contained.

uh...

Actually I don't have to impress anyone. I am not a climate scientist. I have a science education but in this field have to decide what source to trust. Since all skeptics consistently lie, manipulate data, repeat the same points over and over long after they have been refuted and use all the standard denier tactics, I see little reason to doubt the conclusions of the vast majority of scientists in this field.

Again, if the skeptics are so much better at understanding the real science than they sure make a mess of communicating it and do a pretty good job of destroying their own credibility.

Once again

Another good timemark
32:50

-David Ahlport
Boy Oh Boy

Ahhh Mssr. or Ms. Pangolin, Snow is something of a tasking lesson if one has the ability to process the cymatic /geometric frequency that is manifest in each and everyone of them,so since you are just an apologist class person and not the Phd boy in my sights,Im going to break it to you and your cohorts just ever so gently.Those snowflakes speak to the earth processes including the real science of gravitation on the planet,as Im sorry to inform you ,but mister Newton had eaten too many figs and was bacterially challenged.I could take the time and explain the process to you in every detail,but you would have to have certain ability to process and I would require your intellect scoring to determine your ability to progress in a Pythagoras School.The planets flows are adjusted from men who understand the grid system here,one may get a "Becker/Hagens" diagram for a peek into that cymatic grid some call a magnetosphere.Everything my boy is frequency protocoled including your snowflake job.Oxygen/nitrogen/hydrogen and the noble gases are produced off planet as frequency and are brought to this planet on that same cymatic based frequency grid.They incurse through each node,along with the aetheric force that carries them forth.There is a gravitational lesson there also as that frequency is drawn to the planets core and the gases separate from that frequency and the aetheric force then heats our magma. Are ya still with me??When anomalies in our galaxy come to bear in our quadrant such as the 11 year solar cycle ,it perturbs and enhances the field effect of our grid,Still with Me??So perturbations such as the long term 1050 periodicity that we are experiencing at this time really beat the place with weather and heat the magma,If you are following along?? The magma needs to vent through the usual spots,and so we have volcanoes puffing,ocean vents venting and glaciers melting because of under glacial vents,Ever heard of ice caves?? Heres a tid bit just for your eschewing,The Grand Canyon and tha Marianas trench are simply subduction from extreme planetary heating long ago 28 thousand ,by the way. That Magma has to be replaced as it is expanded out ,so weak areas subduct when resupply is called for.Still with me?Wouldnt it make you wonder knowing those little points how it is that canyon just happens to be between two super volcanoes that went off 28 thou. ago, and just in case geology is not your field also its Yellowstone and mexico City.So you see my snow job has alloted you a small amount of my time to tell you that your foolish notion of Co2 causing the problems on this planet are just utter nonsense beat into you by tier two and three guys who are like mushrooms who grow much,much better in the dark.I see you still have not found me any scientists to eat,I still have some vacation time left and my boredom seeks vent.

Earth Shaman
People who generalize and insult others

Ralph:

Do you want to know why I refuse to deal with your arguments?

They are bigoted, asinine and insulting. Before I had ever said a word to you, you implied that I was treasonous, blindly followed Al Gore, am an imbecile and quite a bit more. Do you expect me to even consider the opinions of someone who says things like that?

No, because it is human nature to label them a biased cretin without thinking twice. So my assumption is that your intention is merely to get an angry response. Your arguments are so laced in insults that it would be difficult for me or any of the others to you without showing the same boorish and patronizing attitude that you are displaying. In short: you are an internet troll.

Of course, if you researched and came up with new ideas that hadn't been rebutted ad nauseum, I'd love to read it. I really wouldn't mind being completely wrong. A good place to find aspects that are universally considered wrong is actually provided by Grist, right on this very site.

http://gristmill.grist.org/skeptics

This has the answers to all the questions you've posited so far, and if you don't like them you can always post on those threads. Of course, you are probably unwilling to go through the work of research, but it is your problem if you're unwilling to enrich yourself and no concern of mine.

Of course, the rest of you know that the best way to deal with trolls is to ignore them, I apologize for antagonizing it as it will probably simply post more tripe in response.

Comment To Mr.Ralph Hansen

Mr.Ralph,I would request that you change your position on the coal burned on my planet.The coal has rained down the mercury into the rivers and aquifers and is causing genetic genocide on our planet,just check the NDRC's reporting and the warnings against the eating of fish by child bearing children to get the picture.There are ways of replacing that coal burning and those folks who have allowed mercury amalgams in their teeth and mercury in their vaccines are being willingly destroyed in their intellect.Its just that simple Ralph.And Ralph please aloow your tasking skill level to query google or your favorite engine to study the objects found in coal beds that are physical objects made by man and then task your self to ask me the favor of an explanation as to how the coal was produced on our planet and why,and then you will have the rest of the story. I have stated in other areas of this forum that the Grist folks are being protocoled to bark up the wrong tree for a reason and their intellects are being tasked against for a reason.Have not any one of you wondered why large concentrations of flouride were put into German camps In WW2 to keep the prisoners calm and stupid.And No"Im not Kidding" No different than Im not kidding about the coal and the foolishness of Grist folk not to be tasking against the further burning of coal on our planet.

Earth Shaman
Agree with Andrew D

>> So my position would be to rebut particularly interesting skeptical arguments, but ignore the run-of-the-mill arguments. >>

Yes, looks like Big Oil (or religion) is trying to flood this forum with unsound spam. Similar practices are employed in every forum that starts to get near the truth.  You must realise public opinion is money to these guys.

I had the same problem on my forum... so I just locked it all up.

I would delete flawed, well covered or just rude comments.

Discussion is too precious to allow reasoned people who wish to explore the logic, to be sucked into ad hominem or deceitful tangents.

omegafour.com

Yes.

I have a skeptical father-in-law.  A smart guy and an economist by training, but he really wants to believe that a strong economy will solve all the world's ills.

Every time there is a new editorial, article, or documentary claiming that Global Warming is a "Swindle", he sends it to me.  

It would be very, very nice to simply point him to Grist, where he can read a point-by-point rebuttal of whatever.

I imagine that there are others dealing with the same thing I am.

That being said, a point-by-point rebuttal does not necessarily require new material.  It is quite reasonable to recycle old stuff (because that's all that they are doing).

Andrew Eisenberg
The gateway project is wrong---http://www.livableregion.ca

Speaking of a

Speaking of a point by point-by-point rebuttal
http://www.greyfalcon.net/swindle
http://www.greyfalcon.net/swindle2
http://www.greyfalcon.net/swindle3

-David Ahlport
Keep trying believers

Sustainable Green - Read my posts.  I don't DENY mankind has contributed to climate change.  What I don't believe is that CO2 is the major cause.  And if you had an open mind, you'd see there's a high probability those making that claim are wrong.

Earth Shaman - Mercury was a boondoggle cooked up the environmentalists in their crusade to eliminate coal. Most of the mercury originates from natural sources.  Check the fish advisories around 2025 or 2030, long after electric consumers have paid trillions to capture the small amounts of mercury emitted by coal plants.  I'll bet we still have mercury in fish!

Grevangelical - It was kind of you to refer me to the 8th grade primer provided by the brainwashers, but your "skeptics guide" fails to answer many of my questions.  I'll zero in on just a few:

Why do you trust the IPCC?  Are you unfamiliar with the accounts of scientists who've quit in protest because the facts were being twisted to fit the political agenda? (Google Chris Landsea) The skeptics guide calls it collusion.  Why are you so sure that IPCC scientists aren't fudging facts to keep their jobs?  Imagine what happens to them if they admit that CO2 might not be a big problem after all.

Will countries like China and India agree to cooperate with the international community in reducing their use of fossil fuels?  If they agree (which I doubt will happen), it will take a team of UN inspectors to ensure their compliance.  

But the biggest unanswered question is this - If America and the world are to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion 80% or more, what do you propose as a replacement?   Carbon capture technology is many years away, and will likely be prohibitively expensive when it is commercially available.  How shall we power our lives?  Or are you content to ratchet down the economy, force people to lower their standard of living, all based on the dubious belief that a minor rise in atmospheric CO2 concentrations will cook the planet?

By the way, in case anyone is curious, my Doctorate is in Economics.

Ralph Hansen, Ph. D.

- When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir? -- John Maynard Keynes

re: Ralph

Will countries like China and India agree to cooperate with the international community in reducing their use of fossil fuels?

Only if the US steps up to the plate to provide cost effective technologies.

And Carbon Capture and Sequestration is not one of them.

And the only way thats going to happen is if USA takes on restrictions that push those technologies to the forefront.

Cause frankly, from their point of view.  We primarily made the problem.  Therefore if we aren't going to solve it, why should they?

Are you unfamiliar with the accounts of scientists who've quit in protest because the facts were being twisted to fit the political agenda? (Google Chris Landsea)

Sounds a lot like a cherrypicker who got miffed people weren't paying attention to his weak claims on hurricanes.

http://rabett.blogspot.com/2007/04/all-hell-breaks-loose- ...

-David Ahlport

re: Ralph

What would replace it?

Heh, well seems pretty obvious to me.

Plugin Hybrid Cars
and Electric Cars

And then all we need to do is green the grid.

Obviously not by making "Clean Coal"
Merely by making Green be more reliable.

Solar has about 4 big breakthroughs up it's sleeve.

  1. Thinfilm CIGS solar (cuts cost and capital down by 10x)
  2. Thinfilm using silver sheeting (Gets thinfilm up to 20% effeciency)
  3. Quantum dots (Can get inbetween 2-7 electrons per photon, instead of just 1 to 1)
  4. Titanium Oxide Organic Dyes (Another 10x cheaper inexpensive way to make solar)

Mix any two of those and you got high production volumes, at low costs, with high flexibility.

But perhaps another cool tech will be geothermal.
Raser Technologies, an electric motor company has developed an iron electromagnet drilling motor which offers orders of magnitude more torque than expensive physical magnets.

Lastly, some massive scale way to store energy will likely be key.  The most likely ones for that will be pumped hydro, compressed air storage, ultracapacitors,  or high density batteries in electric cars.

_

And lastly for air travel and military fuels, we've already developed bio-jetfuel in labs which is cheaper than normal jetfuel with increased performance.

-David Ahlport

Solar Needs A Good Tailor

Solar has about 4 big breakthroughs up it's sleeve

Yeah, you've been saying that since 1970.   Solar is always on the verge of a "breakthrough".

But you know what -- if you want to replace fossil fuels (which are actually unlimited and abiotic in origin) you have to come up with something Better than what you're replacing, not harder to use, more expensive and with a negative ROI.

Quite frankly, fossil fuels "combusted" with fuel cells are the only real answer until the ITER project produces >1/1 fusion.

Backpedling at the Speed Of Sound

I don't DENY mankind has contributed to climate change.  What I don't believe is that CO2 is the major cause.

After laying the blame squarely at Man's doorstep, this seems to be the backpedaling plaint of the Crypto-Malthusians.

"Well, ok, it's not CO2, but Man is still responsible...somehow...somewhere...we can't exactly pinpoint it...but really...ok...now let us have a Carbon Tax."

Heh Jabailo

Heh Jabailo, always the skeptic ;D

_

Well the 3rd and 4th one are still in the lab
Although the Quantum Dots recently they figured out how to manufacture em really well.
http://thefraserdomain.typepad.com/energy/2007/05/method_ ...
http://www.sciencenews.org/articles/20060603/bob8.asp

Fourth one, I dunno where thats at.
http://www.blog.thesietch.org/2007/04/08/organic-solar-ce ...

Silver dunno where thats at, but it seems rather simple.  Just switch the stainless steel foil backing for silver foil
http://jcwinnie.biz/wordpress/?p=2175

But the CIGS thinfilms should be out in 2008 in high production volumes.
They've already started building the production facility last year.
http://venturebeat.com/2006/06/20/nanosolar-to-build-worl ...

I've actually been able to tour one of the facilities so far, and they were mostly just waiting on municipal permits before they started pushing product.

-David Ahlport

Okay, This is Better

Hey, all:
Hey, Ralph:

Well, I will say you have at least redeemed yourself somewhat by greatly improving your tone.  Now we can address issues instead of personalities.  

First, none of this is nor should be a matter of belief but objective science.  Second, I do have an open mind (much more than you realize) and the reality is that the probablility favors those who have concluded that anthropogenic global warming is a reality.  And unlike those who subscribe to the One Percent Doctrine, the confidence is much much higher.  In fact, it is interesting to observe the selective perverse application of that doctrine by those who should know better.

Just consider 5% added Carbon per year for 100+ years, Carbon previously sequestered and not part of the the terrestrial Carbon cycle.  You are an economist: consider what could easily be regarded as compound interest in Carbon added to the global environmental account.  

And I can't believe I am defending "Earth Shaman", but concerns over Hg are quite legitimate.  You may understand his ramblings, so I will leave that to you. Regardless, Hg is toxic at extremely low levels, especially in fetal neural tissues of any animal species, and has no known metabolic function in any organism--it is completely useless to life.  For everyone--MERCURY HAS NO KNOWN METABOLIC FUNCTION IN ANY TERRESTRIAL ORGANISM.  It is released whenever coal is burned or processed without capture, and is now found in places where it never never never was before.  It also biomagnifies and bioaccumulates through the food web.  It is not a ruse to sway policy.

I am not one of those who trust government as a rule (actually the other way around) but I trust government scientists over right-wing government stooges any day.  And I also trust them more than I do those who follow the Big Tobacco model of obfuscation and outright lying.  

I sincerely think we in the U.S. will have to wait until Jan '09 for any meaningful change in government policy.  In the meantime both India and China are doing a lot to change and improve, regardless of Kyoto.  China is now one of the world's biggest producers of PV panels and are exporting many of them.  Clearly both have much more to do, but using them as an excuse is a playground tactic which should be beneath all of us.

To answer your biggest question: look at what Germany has done.  They have dramatically increased the manufacture of PV panels and installed them everywhere and have already displaced much of their CO2 output and will go much much further.  They have also done a lot with wind turbines.  

What we need in this country is to reassign the $Billions for fossil fuels and nuclear power and 'biofuels' instead to sustainable energy sources and activities.  This includes distributed generation by wind and sun on the roofs of homes and businesses across the country.  Another needed redistribution of government funds is in agriculture, from still more GMOs and Terminator technology to sustainable, local, organic farming, all of which will reduce fossil fuel imputs.  

Consider the egalitarian economic benefit of hundreds of PV and turbine manufacturing firms reopening closed and dark factories and putting employees to work.  The first 3000 PV panels (or 1-20 turbines) go up on the roof of each factory where they were made, and then to the surrounding communities.  Have you mentally calculated the economic ripple effect?

Transportation, installers, all the other infrastructure, even technical re-education all would see a huge increase.   And batteries, and wire, and controllers and inverters.  Note I am not proposing huge wind farms or huge arrays of PV panels covering the countryside; small wind and rooftop PV will do fine, and will go a long way in disabusing ourselves of the mentality of 'Electricity as Commodity', that is owned exclusively by 'someone else' and has to be bought monthly ad infinitum. We need to move away from high-investment, centralized, secondary-tertiary-quaternary production of energy, to Sun (primary) and Wind (secondary).  

We also need to move very aggressively to replace our transportation fleet with battery electric and Hydrogen electric vehicles.  We can do this as we